analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum. Euro ke liye... lekin aala satah mukammal taul par nahi paar nahi kiya tha, agarceh lazmi nuqta nazar oahle se maujood tha.OI me san se jyada izafa ki wajah se call option, 1240 hai aur 2423 ke qeemat ke mutabiq hai. Yaqinan, Europe wahan jana chahta hai, lekin yah haqiqat nahin hai. Yah dilchasp hai keh yah strike rukawat ka piche aur 2406 ke bottom par aur 2440 ke top par chipa hua tha aur, mera yaqeen hai keh, yah range, din ka high ho sakta hai. Niche wala bahut jyada attractive hai aur hamen pahle 2391 bana chahiye. To chalen pass karte hain aur 2356 ke liye ticket lete hain. Shayad, 2321 lekin kahin bhi 2298 ke sath "first night" ke qabze ke liye sangin ladai hogi ya 24th ke liye throwback hogi.



P.S. Jab main post kar raha tha, qeemat sirf 2391 par aayi thi, lekin main bhi subah farokht karne me kamyab raha.

Ek rat ke liye lazmi ilaqon ko hasil kiya gaya tha, jabkeh pound aakhir kar ise par kar kar gya. Ek mazboot signal hai jab ki oopri sarhad lazmi ilaqe me hai. Lehaza, sirf pound kal ki farokht me shamil kiya gaya tha. Main 2317-25 ilaqe (agar wo fraham karte hain) main euro ke liye intezar kar raha hun. Kitni chhi tarah waqt ka intekhab kiya gaya tha ek bade flat ke tashkil ke liye aur khususi koshish ke begair- yah tyohar ke dinon ka time hona chahiye. Yah kaam kiya.



Kal ke liye options ko kam kar diya gya tha. Lihaza, 2315 aur ek options ke taur par 2330 ooper jana chahiye. Mazboot rukawat lekin agar ise overcome kiya jata hai - to wo 2213 par 23th put option ke liye poori tarah gir sakta hai.

Hello, everyone. Aaj budh hai, aur aaj pound par nazar rakhne ka waqt hai. Isne "previous" ko satah par dohraya, jaisa ki euro ne kiya tha. Lekin yahan ek pahlu yah hai keh euro ke liye koi lazmi zone nahin hai, lekin balances bottom me hai. i.e, mood competitive hai agar ham din ke channel ke oopri sarhadon par nahin aate hain. Lihaza, main kal ki recurrence ki ummid kar raha hun - Euro 2212 par hai, pound 4011 par hai aur uske baad ham ek COT kharid sakte hain. Yah afsos hai keh pound ke liye, ham 39th par nahin ja sakte lekin sabkuch ho sakta hai, aur mujhe wo din yad jab na sirf balance balkeh 120th bhi pass kiya gya tha. Aur mere buns ke mutabiq, pound sirf 4099-4119 ki range me trade karega.



Euro ke liye, range wide hai, lekin main 2306 ka top aur 2220 ka bottom lunga.

Sabhi ko Salam! Chalen euro ke sath shurur karte hain. Asia me, qeemat 1.2286 channel ki oopri gadd tak pahunch gayi. Aisa lagta hai keh yah farokht karne ke liye acchi jagah hai, lekin main jaldi nahin karunga.Pahle, euro aksar 40-50 points ki hadon ke zariye toot jati है. Doosra ki, opening lazmi zone ke bina hua, jiska matlab hai ki mumkena qeemat reversal. Lehaza hamen aur jyada hoshyar rahne ki zarurat hai aur main pichle lazmi ilaqe aur oopri hadd ki satah par farokht par gaur karunga. Khariddari ke liye, 1.2212 ke balance ke raste par laayen.



Pound ke liye, qeemat 1.4051-1.4062 ke lazmi zone me khol di gayi, lekin lazmi zone me yah 1.4096 ko oopri hadd par aaya tha. Yahan main ek chote descent ki hadd se lazmi zone ke ilaqe me intezar kar raha hunga, jahan ham rebound aur bullish flat ke jari rahne ki ummid kar sakte hain. Lekin qeemat lazmi zone ke zariye toot sakti hai, to mere liye yaha jyada matlooba option hai, lekin sirf agar yah 1.4011 ke balance tak pahunchta hai, jisse main kadidari par gaur karunga. Budh ke pattern ke bare me bhi yaad rakhen, jo keh hafte ke ikhtetam tak jori ki taraqqi ki nishandahi karta hai, agar qeemat ne balance ko touch kiya hai (exceptional cases me, hafte ko agle budh tak badhaya jata hai, isme shamil nahin hai).

Hello, Main ummid karta hun keh sterling aaj ooper ko janib badhegi. Twajjoh dena chahiye keh yaumih channel ka ghatna ek ishara hai keh iski haden toot jayengi aur movement mazboot ho jayega.

Yahi wajah hai ki 4060 ke ilaqa me ek mushkil jagah hogi aur mujhe ummid hai ki is se qeemat badhegi. Agar reverse Head and pattern ka trade hota hai, to hadaf 4160 ke qarib hoga; agar nahi, to hadaf fir bhi usi satah ke qarib hoga. Fir niche bahut si long positions hogi aur qeemat niche jayegi.

Mere indicators dikhate hain ki upside limit 4122 hai aur downside limit 4028 hai
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Yahi wajah hai ki balance se kharid raha hun aur 4100 se ooper farokht kar raha hun.

Ab pound ke analysis ka waqt hai. Iski bhi farokht ki soorat haal hai. 1.4041-1.4053 ke lazmi zone ke niche kulta hai. Iske ilawa, qeemat balance ke ooper chali gayi, lekin 1.4007 par iske niche aa gayi. Agar koi signal diya jata hai to acchi farokht lazmi zone se hogi. Taqriban 40 minutes pahle, bechne ke liye ek signal tha, aur maine bech diya. Mera maqsad 1.3949 (thora kam) par OC ki nichli hadd par hoga. Khariddari ka entrance aaj jyada mohtayat hai.



P.S. Na bhoolen ki non farm payrolls par data aaj publish kiya jayeda, isliye hamen aaur bhi ehtiyat se trade karna chahiye.

Euro usi soorate haal me hai. Wahid farq yah hai keh kal EUR/USD ne ek retracement banaya aur ab jori ko farokht karne ke liye behtareen hikmate amli hai. Maine kal ke apne long positions ko band kar diya aur sirf niche se kuch positions ko chor diya. Mujhe ummid hai ki euro aage badhega. Intraday high 2275 tha. Jab trading active phase me jayegi, to qeemat kam ho jayegi.



Ek aur aham bat kal ki badhti hui interest thi. Haalya dinon me, open interest gir raha tha, lehaza maine un dionon girawat par jori kharidi. Chand dinon ke nuqsanat ke bad put options tezi pakad raha hai. Zahir hai, aaj expiration ka din hai, lehaza yah aakhri din hai jab ham apne positions se jyada fayeda kama sakte hain. Lehaza, call options 2290 par lekin haqiqi taur par 2262 par jyada munasib hoga. Put options ke liye, 2235pahle hi pahunch chuka hai, aur mujhe lagta hai keh wo 2218 ka intezam karenge. Jaisa keh qeemat 21th ke qarib aa rahi hai, hamen iski koshish karni chahiye. Maine 2184 par long position open karne ke bare me sanjidah hun.

Jaisa keh pound ke liye hai, yah euro ke liye itna wazeh nahi hai, lekin sathon par conclusion draw kiya ja sakta hai. Qeemat 1.4116 ke balance ke niche khuli hai, jo farokht ki soorathaal ki nishandahi karti hai. Koi lazmi zone nahi hai, jo ek turnback ki tasdikq karta hai. Pichle hafte ke flat ke bad qeemat konsi simt me turn ho sakti hai. Aisa lagta hai keh last din, khabron par qeemat acchi trah se badhi hai, lekin yah guzishta hafte tak gir raha tha.

Mujhe lagta hai keh is waqt lazmi zone ki kami ka sign omit kiya ja sakta hai.

Agar ham guzishta hafte ke Budh aur Jumerat par gaur karen, to usi satah par OC 1.4096 haden thi, jis ki qeemat tab pass nahin ki ja sakti thi, aur is waqt, agar ham unse satah lete hain, to qeematen un par bump kar sakti hai, lekin pass nahi ho sakti. Aur uske bad, balance ke shakal me ek aur resistance hai.

Lekin OC 1.4083 ke nichli hadd ke shakal main support ki ummid nahin ki ja sakti hai, kyonkeh qimat iske qarib khula aur ise acchi tarah tod sakta hai aur 40-50 points kam ho sakta hai.

Narrow levals ke mutabiq, aaj monday aur calender ko dekhte hue, jahan koi aham khabar nahin hai. ham yah samjh sakte hain keh din boring aur flat hoga aur hamare liye dilchasp kuch nahin hai.

Hi everyone.
Filhaal, main ek safar par hun isliye main apne smartphone ke zariye trade karta hun. Main kisi bhi tez tabdiliyon ki tawaqqo nahi karta. Chart par ya to Tower hai ya reversed Flag forming hai, lehaza ek mazboot izafa mumkin nahin hai. Iske alawa, sterling ne pahle hi zail me balance ko touch kiya hai. Euro sentiment pound ke muqable me jyada tez nazar aata hai, lekin abhi bhi 1.23 ka izafa maujooda positions se sirf 25 pips hai. Aham manzar me budh tak islah hai, isliye main sirf jump par brch raha hun.

Rex ka kahna hai ki woh thori der ke liye trading nahi kar raha hai kyokeh woh intezar kar rha hai jab tak keh qimat broken balance me wapas nahi aati.

Hi everyone! GBP/USD ki qimat ka broken balance par lautna sure hai. Mujhe iske bare me fikar nahi hai. Main Easter ki chuttiyon ke bad sabhi ko naye trading hafte ki acchi shuruat ki wish karta hun. Main pound sterling ke 40 pattern par lautne ki ummid karta hun, aur main 4080-90 ke lazmi zone me long positions ko band karne ja raha hun. Fir, main dekhunga keh iske bad kya follow karna hai. Agar qimat kal ke bad ek nayi unchai tak nahi pahunchti hai, to main us qimat par jori kharidunga. Agar mujhe ek naya high dikhai deta hai, to main shuruaat ke liye sell positions open karunga.

Muje euro par waisi hi tasweer ki ummid hai. Qimat ka tawazun aur lazmi zome me wapas aana yaqini hai. Iske bad, qimat 2390 ke liye badh jayegi. Ham abhi kah sakte hain ke satah yaqini taur par pahun jayega. Mujhe is satah par mazboot sargarmi ki ummid hai. Options wazeh taur par yah ishara karte hain. Is satah se, raste ooper ki taraf free ho jayega. Lehaza, hamen yah faisla karna hoga ki kya market is mauqe ki ijazat dega.

Hello! pichli report ke mutabiq, market shorts accumulate karta hai:) Waqt sirg ek masla hai: kahan aur kab) Aaj, liquidity me izafa hoga, agarcheh mujhe intehai utar chadaw ki ummid nahin hai. Market shayad pahle hi kaam kar chuka hai. Main sirf do medium-term taswiron ko dekhta hun: pahla COT se figures hain. Lehaza, euro ke liye, players wazeh hai) jab keh pound ke liye, yah mishmatch hai:))) Dealers 47,114+4,274 short contracts ke milkiyat ne hai, aur iska long-term shorters ki taraf se lutf liya jana chahiye) Assets Managers ke pas 58,861 short contracts hain, yah bhi accha hai. Agarcheh pound par Asset Manager ka asar euro par se kam hai. Lekin participants ka ek group hai jinhone guzishta 4 hafton se actively long aur closed shorts accumulate kiye hain: Leveraged fund speculators hain. Futures par iska volume 96,486 hai aur total turnover ka yah 56.1% long hai. Simple alfaz me kahen to, speculators rujhan me aetemad karte hain, upward medium-term movement jari hai, jabki MM aur fund mandi ke rujhan ke liye mutazar hai.



Publication par wapas aate hai. Aaiye chart dekhen:



Agar ham pichle report ko dekhte hain to, jab tak mandi ka protoclo publish nahi kiya gya tha instrument ne ek hafte ke liye niche ka rujhan rakha tha. Ab yah bilkul ulta hai. 1,3711 ke satah se long me ek set diya gya tha. Lehaza, ham samjh sakte hain ki hadaf jyada hai. Ham tezi se unchai tak pahunch sakte hain, agar ham nahin karte hain, to update nahi karenge, iska matlab yah hoga ki tezi ka rujhan kamzor hona chahiye.

Pound abhi bhi buying mood me hai. Qimat .4107-1.4135 ke lazmi zone se ooper khuli, lekin iske sath sath euro. 1.4195 ke tawazun ke tehat khuli, jo mazahmat paida kar sakta hai. Lehaza lazmi zone me utarte waqt khariddari aur pahle se hi buy order shuru karne ke liye consider karna behtar hoga. OC ki nichli sarhad OZ ke qarib hai aur 1.4093 par hai. Upper limit 1.4304 hai, jahan se jori par frokht ke liye gaur karna mumkin hai. Is waqt, jori par ek flat hai aur ham sirf indaza laga sakte hain keh qeemat kahan jayegi, lekin main option ko mazid dekh raha hun, jaisa keh maine ooper bayan kiya hai ki, lazmi zone ke liye descent aur pahle se hi main wahan se kharidne ke liye signal ka intezar kar raha hun.

Hello! Euro ke liya, yahan aaj ki sooratehaal hai.


Satah khariddari ke liye mauzon hai, qimat 1.2328-1.2350 ke lazmi zone se ooper waqe hai. Kal khabron par, koi khas tahrik nahi tha aur kuch bhi dilchasp nahin hua, lehaza ham MZ ki taraf thore descent ka intezar kar rahe hain aur wahan se ham kharidne ke liye dekh sakte hain. Stop MZ ke piche chipaya ja sakta hai, lekin is se bahut door nahin, OC 1.2308 ki lower border hai, jo kal ki nichli hadd se sath mail khata hai. Wo aise qism ke custom ka tamir kar rahe hain jo qimaton ko badhne se rok sakte hain aur kam se kam aaj tak ise rakhenge, agar wo wahan niche jate hain.


OC ki oopri hadd 1.2481 ki satah par high hai, jisse aaj farokht karna mumkin hai.



Pound ke liye, lazmi zone bhi 1.4138-1.4165 par din ke opening ke niche hai. Pound ka niche debts hai aur top par unmet targets hai, isliye aaj ke liye abhi bhi khariddari ki sooratehaal hai aur agar signal ho to main MZ se aur maujoodah se khariddari par haur karunga. Agar qimat MZ ke tehat aata hai, to main aaj wahan se farokht par gaur karunga, kam se kam OC 1.4071 ki nichi hadd tak.

Aaj ke liye OC ki oopri sarhad 1.4320 hai. Tawazun taqriban usi satah par hai aur aaj yah 1.4192 hai.

Again to the euro ...
11.04 par OI ka +3,376 contracts
Mangal ko, shorters' site, jis me 28.03 se downward trend ko muaqid kiya, ko push kiya gaya. Lehaza, khariddari ka rujhan hai.



Report ke mutabiq, kal yah dead end tha. Lehaza, 10.04 (1.2320 - 1.2378) se SD H1 candle ka support-resistance zone hai
Euro ke liye, long-term assets ka scenario taiyar kiya ja raha hai:



Lekin agar ham intraday ke bare me baat karen, to yahan muqami taur par mujhe apna pattern mila hai. Waqai me, maine abhi tak shorts ke bare me nahin socha tha, kyonkeh yah targets bahut kam hai. Niche SR mountains ka ek mountain hai, jo instrument ko impulsive tahrik se south me rok dega)