analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum!

Euro ne session ke shuruaat me koi surprise nahi diya, lehaza market pursokun tejarat kar raha tha.
Halankeh, khariddaron ne iftetahi taur par 10 pips ka faida hasil karne me kamyabi hasil ki.
Options ke liye, taswir mundarja zail hai:
EUR/USD EUUN8 ka motawaqqe range

Is chart par abhi tak koi tabdili nahin aayi hai.
Is tra, euro par qaribi call satah 1.1750 par hai. Is satah par sell trades ko khola ja sakta hai.
Is satah ke aham banne se pahle maine apna sell trade khola. Pending order critical level ke liye payoff ke aham satah par hai.
Traded volume par put level 1.1650 par waqe hai. Lehaza, yah satah aakhri aham range nahi hai. 1.500 ki aham himyat ki stah bhi hai.


Risk ke liye payoff
In sathon par options trading me khatre ke liye payoff bhi kafi mukhtalif hain.
Is trah, 1.165 ke put level par risk ke liye payoff 38 points hain.
1.1750 par strike price ke sath call options par payoff 64 points hain.
75 points ke forward points ke sath, call options ke liye aham satah 1.1740 hai.


Trading idea:
Mujhe lagta hai keh sell deals ab tarjih me hai.
1.1675 ki stah mzahmat ki satah hai. Ham is satah par sell trades khol sakte hain.
Is soorat me take profit stah 1.1575 par muqarrar ki jani chahiye, aur stop loss satah 1.1775 par set kiya jana chahiye.
Rujhan bearish bani hui hai, lekin yah reverse ho sakti hai aur is halat me long deals kholunga.

Assalam Alaikum!

Isse qabal, maine likha tha keh euro muqami flat zone me tejarat kar rha tha. Us zone ki oppri hadd 1.1675 par waqe thi jabkeh nichli hadd 1.1625 par paya gya tha. Uspar mabni, mere pas mundarja zail nazariya tha: 1.1675 ka break aur kamyab test jo kharidne ke liye ek signal hoga. Munafa tai karne ke liye aham satah 1.1725 ke qarib hai.

Euro ki mazid izafe ki meri tawaqqo ki tasdiq hui. Americi tejarati session se pahle, qimat 1.1675 ke satah ko 30 pints se torne me kamyab rahi. Yah mere liye khariddari ke mawaqe ke talash ko shuru karne ke liye kafi tha. Break ke bad, qimat ne kamyabi se satah ka test kiya.

Aise lamhat me signal ke sath trade shuru karna accha hota hai.
Maine deal nahi shuru kiya, kyonkeh jab signal qayam hua tha main apne desk par nahin tha.
Mere pas ek khula kharid sauda hai, aur qimat munafa fixing ki satah ke qarib pahunch rahi hai.



Pound sterling ke bare me bat karte hue, maine likha tha keh 1.3220 se 1.3310 tak horizontal range thi. Agar qimat 1.3310 ke satah ko toregi to maine mazid buy deals shuru karne ki mansooba bandi ki hai. Is surat me, stop ki satah kam se kam ho sakti thi jabkeh taraqqi ki salahiyat nisbatan zyada thi.
Mere maamle me maine 1.3430 par buy deals ke liye take profit place kiya jabkeh stop loss 1.3200 par set kiya gya tha.
Lekin 1.3230 ka satah munaqid ki gayi thi. Ise torne ki kayi koshishen nakam ho gayin. Ab qimat 1.3310 ke agle satah tak pahunch rahi hai. Is satah ko torne aur iske ooper badhne ka pichla manzar durast hai.

Assalam Alaikum.
Maujooda market ki soorat haal VD (Volume + Delta) par mabni hai
Pound:
Aaj, instrument ke liye, main shomal ka intezar kar raha hun. Asian ne mohasra diya, aur phir bhi, hamare Asiai doston ko aksar alag kar diya jata hai.
Maine screen par SR ke elaqon par roshni dali hai. Jahan se, market ke halaat tak pahunchne ke bad, intraday trading karna mumkin hai.
Main shorts aur longs dono par gaur karta hun.
Subah me - Long. Aur iske liye, market ke haalaat mundarza zail tariqe se qayam ki gayi hai:

Delta ke liye, mahdood khariddari hai. Lehaza, buyers ki janib se dawab hai.

Hello,
Main euro aur pound ke bare me apne assumptions ka khulasa karunga.

Meri Girawat ki peshgoi ki tasdiq ki gyi thi, lekin andraz ke liye qimat ne kam nahi kiya. European session me, ibtedai pullback nahin hua. Islah karne ke liye kamzor koshish ne makhsoos natije nahin diye, market mazboot dawab me aa gya, jo market ke iftetah me pahle hi dekha gya tha.
Aur jo kuch mujhe pasand aaya wo girawat ke hadaf ka workout hai. 1.3105 ke satah par bahut durast tariqe se pahunch gyi thi aur isse, 45 points ka izafa kiya gya.
Ab yah pata chala hai keh pound 2 aham sathon ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Yah dakhil hone ke liye ek aaccha qimat ka ilaqa nahin hai.
Kaam ke liye optimal levels 1.3180 aur 1.3100 hoga.
Main wheel ko dobara se nahin bnaunga, trading ke liye aham aur samajhne wali halaat mundarja zail hongi:
1.3180 se ooper breakout aur qimat ke istehkam ki soorat me, ek kharid signal generate kiya jayega;
1.3100 ke niche breakout aur qimat ke istehkam ke soorat me, ek farokht signal generate kiya jayega.


Euro ke liye, girawat ke sath option ki tasdiq ki gayi thi. Farokht ke liye satah tak nahin pahuncha gaya tha, lehaza, pending sell order ko hataya jana tha.
Taqriban 1.1600 par, qimat ne basalahiyat rawaiye ka muzahira kiya.
Nishan tak pahunchne ke bad, qimat ne, pound ke sath, ooper ki taraf 45 points ka pullback kiya.
Ab yah pata chala hai keh European session ki shuruaat me sabhi girawat ek pullback se offset kiya gya tha.
Filhal, mera khayal hai keh yah pullback chote traders ki farokht ko band karne ke liye kiya gaya tha jo pahle hi apni positions ko breakeven point me muntaqil kar chuke hain.
1.1638 ke satah se, maine 1.1560 ke take profit ke sath farokht shuru ki.

Lehaza, ab main is mafhum ki takmil ke liye intezar kar raha hun.

Hello,
Aaiye aham currency joron par supply aur demand ka mutalba karen, aur hafte ke liye mansooba banayen. Chalen ise mumkena taur par chote aur mukhtasar me karne ki koshish karen.

EUR/USD:

Yah jori mandi ki dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai. Yah "shark fins" se dekha ja sakta hai. In ilaqon me koi bhi qimat izafa be asar ho jata hai. Meri rai me, qaribi acchi mang hadaf hogi.


GBP/USD

Pound ka rawaiya darmayane darje ke waqt ke frame par euro ke jaisa hi hai. Tarjihat qarib tarin mutalba ke liye farokht hai.


AUD/USD

Australian dollar ke liye, suupy ka koi wazeh aur dastyab zone nahi hai, lekin classics ke mutabiq, ek bahut acchi satah hai, jo niche se qimat ki test karta hai. Yah ek mazboot, classic aur takniki signal hai, jiska, meri rai me kam karne ka imkan hai.


USD/CAD

Loonie ke liye, ek kamzor farokht signal hai, lekin main ise gair wazeh soorat hall ke taur par samajhta hun. Aap qaribi demand par farokht kar sakte hain, halankeh, yah aisa sauda nahin hai jo tawajjoh dene ke qabil hai.


USD/JPY

Japani currency jori ko bahut mazboot demand ke zariye characterize kiya jata hai. Aap kah sakte hain keh khariddari flying colors ke sath kaam karegi ... Lekin supply ki satah ka intezar karna sahih hoga, aur fir whan se len. Is satah ko torna aur bahut sare faidamand points hasil karna sahih hoga. Lekin breakout se pahle dakhla khatarnak hai ... Wo ise tod nahin sakte hain, halamkeh mujhe lagta hai keh yah mumkin nahin hai. Main aapko farokht karne ke bajaye yan khardne ka mashwara dunga.

USD/CHF

Swiss franc ek mazboot, bullish movement ke active phase me hai. Aap ise maujooda satah se kharid sakte hain, peshkash ki pahli test tak ek position hold kar sakte hain, fir ise breakeven point me muntaqil kar sakte hain, aur ooper ke rujhan ke tasulsul ka intezar kar sakte hain.
[
Natija:

- AUD/USD aur USD/CHF par len den me sabse zyada mumkena salahiyat hai;
- Darmiyani salahiyat EUR/USD aur GBP/USD jori ke liye signal me hai;
- USD/CAD aur USD/JPY ke liye signal bahut sust hai aur inhen trading karna lottery khelne jaisa hai.

Kal, subah ki peshgoi euro aur pound dono ke liye acchi tarah se kaam kiya. Lekin Americi tajiron ke market me dakhil hone ke bad, soorate haal badal gayi. Core consumer price index publish hone ke bad, US dollar index kamzor ho gya, jisne aham currencies ke muqami taraqqi me izafa hua.

Euro ke liye,
1.1630 ke aham hadaf tak nahin pahuncha gya tha. 1.1650 se 1.1690 tak ki tezi se taraqqi farokht ko mazboot karne aur intezar na karne ki wajah thi. Halankeh yah satah abhi tal break nahin kiya gya hai, girawat ke liye mukmmal mansukhi ke bare me bat karna jald bazi hai, lekin false breakout ke bad, badhne ki tez koshishen sellers ki kamzori ki nishandahi karti hai.
Ab main false breakout aur euro ke ucchal ki shuruaat ki tawaqqo karta hun. Khariddari ke liye signal 1.1690 se ooper ki qimat ka breakout aur istehkam hoga. Munafe ko mazboot karne ke liye qaribi satah 1.1730 par hai.

Pound ke liye, trading ki surate hall usi tarah ki hai. 1.3190 ka breakout false hai. Is minimum ko todne ke bad, qimat mazbooti se badhne lagi. 1.3230 ke zariye se break ki koshish bhi ki gyi thi. Higher price ka consolidation abhi tak nahi kiya gya hai.
Khariddaron ki positions me izafe ke liye, unhen qimat 1.3200 se ooper rakhne ki zarurat hai. Agar is range ka kamyabi se test kiya jata, to main 1.3230 se ooper breakout aur consolidation ka intezar karunga. Is range se, ham 1.3270 satah par ek hadaf ke sath khaiddari shuru kar sakte hain.

To, maujooda hafte ka khulasa pesh karte hain, kyon ke yah khatm hone wala hai, aur halaat aur tashkilat zahir hui hai. Hamesha ki trah, ham aham currency pairs par gaur karenge: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, aur USD/CHF.

EUR / USD: Yah avi do demand zones (previous top aur current bottom) ke darmiyan hai. Aaur hamen jitna mumkin ho sake kaam karne ki zarurat hai: jab qimat badhti hai, to ham kharidte hai, jab qimat niche jati hai, to ham ise farokht karte hain.


GBP/USD: Is waqt, yah interest ke taza zone me hai, agar qimat badhti hai, to demand zone hoga, agar yah niche jati hai - supply zone hoga, breakout ki haisiyat par munhasar hai, ham ek munasib position kholte hain.


AUD/USD: yah zyada durust hai, koi double option nahin hai. Yah demand zone me hai, aur market ise ooper ki taraf "push" karegi, jispar kamai karna mumkin hai.


USD/CAD: Yah bhi bahut accha hai. Qimat ek mazboot tasulsul ke sath peshkash ke zariye toot gyi, aur ek demand zone ka ta tashkil kiya. Ab, ooper se- toote hue peshkash ke zariye test kiya ja raha hai. Lehaza is currency pair ke taraqqi jari rakhne ki ummid hai.


USD/JPY: daily chart par, yah offer zone me chala gya, lekin yah zone bahut wasie aur naqiz jai, lehaza is jori ke liye koi acchi entry nahi hai, aur mumkena nazariyat ka koi mauqa nahi hai.


USD/CHF: Japani yen ke sath aisa hi hota hai....surate haal bilkul bekar hai, jahan ek wasie range me kuch bhi ho sakta hai.....


Agar hai 1 se 10 ke paimane me signal ka jaiza karte hain, to:

- loonie - 10;
- kiwi - 8;
- euro - 7;
- pound - 6;
- yen - 0;
- Swiss dollar - 0;

To, agle hafte ka mansooba USD/CAD aur AUD/USD ke signal ko process karna hai.

Assalam Alaikum! Main EUR/USD ke sath aham currency pairs ke apne muqta nazar ko shuru karne ja raha hun. Dar asal, aaj ke liye jori ki soorate haal wazeh hai. Intraday ki buniyad par option channel ko dikhane wala satah, tawil sharton ki himayat karta hai. Jori aaj intraday balance ke safed satah aur neele lazmi zone se ooper khula. Is ke ilawa, qimat option channel ki oopri sarhad par virtual taur par hai. Aam taur par, yah is sarhad ke khilafwazi aur qimat me mazid izafe ka ishara karta hai. Ek aur wazeh nishan yah hai keh intraday rujhan ke pile rang ki line niche gahri hai, channel ke power border ko band kar diya gya hai.

Is tarah, aaj jore ke liye behtar tejarati hikmat amli hai buy bets. Intraday trading ke liye, main mundarza zail nzariyat par gaur karta hun. Main ya to qimat ke break out aur upper options channel ke ooper fix karne ya neele lazmi zone ki taraf piche hatne aur ek aur breakout aur option channel ke oopri sarhad ke ooper fixation ki ummid karta hun.

Maine maujooda satah se market me dakhil hua. Main nile lazmi zone ke thoda niche stop loss place karne ka mansooba bna rha hun. 1.1750 ke satah par take profit haftawar flower indicator ke sath milta hai.

Hello,
Chaliye aaj ke liye euro aur pound ke liye peshgoi karte hain.

Euro:
Pahle, kamkaji hafte ke doosre nasf men, qimat ne 1.1665 ke satah ko todne ka intezam kiya. Jumah ko, is range ke niche mazbooti ki koshish ki gyi thi. Yah satah ek aham pricing ilaqa hai jis par aage ki pricing munhasar karti hai.
Agar wo 1.1670-1.1650 se niche rahne ke qabil hain , to farokht abhi bhi horizon par hogi.
Kam az kam 30 points se 1.1620 ka ek breakout hoga aur iske tehat qimat maen izafa hoga.
Is surat me, munafa ko fix karne ke liye aham satah 1.1580 par hoga.
Niche ki taraf subsequent consolidation ke sath 1.1660 satah ka false breakout mutawaqqe hai. Is surat me, munafe ki fixing qaribi satah par hoga.
Agar is had se ooper breakout aur istehkam hai, to maen taraqqi ki tawaqqo karunga. Lehaza, 1.1740 ke hadaf ke sath 1.1665 se kharid zyada promising hoga.

Pound:
Growth ke liye aham halaat:
1.3130 se ooper qimat ka breakout aur istehkam.
Euro aur pound dono ke liye, maine kamyabi se 1.3085 ke price range me munafa fix kiya. 1.3130 ke satah par qimat kr rebound ne khariddaron ke liye koi khas natija aur himayat nahin laaya.
Americi session ke dusre half me, sherah taqriban 1.3080 tak fir se gir gyi.
Farokht ke liye aham halaat:
30 points se 1.3080 se satah ka breakout aur iske niche qimat ki mazbooti. Is halaat me , munafe ko fix karne ka satah 1.3000 hoga.
1.3130 ke mumkena false breakout ke bad, 1.3080 par hadaf ke sath farokht mumkin hoga.

Assalam Alaikum.
Hafte ke dauran, aham khabren thin, Friday bhi astasna nahin hai, aur aaj ham gair-farm payroll par bhi data hasil harenge. Lehaza parwaz jari rahengi.
Maen is bat se ittefaq karta hun keh ya to falt ko chorna aur borders ko torna ya tejarati hadon me wapas jana zaruri hai. Lehaza, maen dollar index ko dekhta hun aur bullish wolfe khincha hai. Resistance line ko todna zaruri tha, aur yah kal se ek din qabal (parson) falt girawat se toot gya tha, ooper se breakout zone ka test kiya gya tha. Aur kal, hadaf taqriban hasil kiya gya tha.
Lehaza, ahgar 95.25-30 satah muzahmat karta hai, to ham 94th figure par wapas aa jayenge.
Warna, munmena update ke sath hadaf 95.65 par high hai.
Lehaza, aaj ka din faisla kun dinon me se ek hai.

Hello,
Kal, pound 3183 par din ke balance tak pahunch gaya, lehaza hamen is hafte ke ikhtetam tak bade girawat ka intezar nahin karna chahiye. Shayad aaj ham bulandi dekhenge aur bas itna hi. Qimat ko 3297 ke pichle unchai tak pull kiya ja raha hai. Aur aaj, din ka balance usi ilaqe men 3322 par hai. Yaumiyah channel ka nichla hissa kal ke balance par hai aur mujhe lagta hai keh ham wahan wapas jayenge. Markazi himayat ab 3130 par hai jahan short-term trend men bulls ke liye himayat hai. Iske alawa, darmiyan wala thora niche hai. Lehaza unhen ooper se test karna (jaisa keh ham ne 3000 aur 3030 ki satah par kiya tha) aur high ko update karna sahih hoga.

Assalam Alaikum!
Jaisa keh main dekhta hun, bahut se tajir pound ka istemal karte hain. Yah is haqiqat ko dekhte hue samjha ja sakta hai keh din men 200 points ka munafa kamaya ja sakta hai. sliye aaiye pound se shuru karte hain.
Aaj, 2548 par yaumiyah tawazun mere liye wapsi ke aham nuqtah ke taur par aham hai. Darasal, 2590-2691 ka ek lazmi zone bhi hai, jo girawat men peshraft ko roke hue hai, aur jab tak yah ooper hai, to qimat ko ooper push kiya jayega.
2707 par din ka ooperi border growth ke buniyadi hadaf ke taur par kam karta hai, lekin kal ke ooperi border ke bare men na bhulen, jo toot gaya hai aur ab ek debt ke taur par kam karta hai jise wapas diya jana chahiye.
Dusri bat keh, kal, din sin ka koi tawazun nahin tha, jiska matlab hai keh Brexit ke speculations ke alawa taraqqi ke liye koi khas wajah nahin hai.
Aur teesri bat keh, ham "kharid" men short-term trend change ke qarib aa gaye, lekin iske liye 2620 se ooper consolidation ki zarurat hai.
European session ke dauran market men dakhil hona mumkin hai. Lehaza, maine 2690 se 27th figure par kal ke pending order ko move kar diya. Aur main sirf borders ke qarib positions ko shamil karne ja raha hun.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum.
Patther fenkne aur unhen ka waqt hai. Main kal, parson, aur Jumah ko sell trades ko accumulate kar raha tha. Lehaza, maine waqi 200-pip ke movement ki taarif ki hai. Aam taur par mai apne munafe ke bare men bolna pasand nahin karta hun kiyunkeh paisa khamoshi pasand karta hai.
Phir bhi, aaj main ise aapke sath share kar sakta hun.



Pound ke pas aaj zaruri program nahin hai. Lehaza, main GBP/USD jori ke ya to jump ua retreat ki tawaqqo karta hun. Halankeh, ek din men 220 pips ke pichle izafe ke bad ooper badhte rahne ka imkan nahin hai. Lehaza main ummid karta hun keh yah niche ki taraf jayega. 3091 ka balance downward movement ke liye ek rukawat ho sakti hai kiyunkeh aaj Nudh hai.
Intraday low 2951 hai, mera khayal hai keh hamen aaj is tak pahunchna chahiye.
Filhal, mere indices men izafe ke liye mumkena salahiyat ke sath bulls ke liye himyat ki satah 1.3000 aur 2918 hai. Hamare wahan pahunchne se pahle woh 3016 aur 2950-70 par shift ho sakte hain. Iske alawa, yah ek accumulation zone hai, aur yah andazah lagana mushkil hai keh yah kidher mudega.
Lehaza, abhi ke liye main sirf ek mazrin ban kar rah gaya hun.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Jabkeh Brexit ko lekar gair yaqini suratehal hai. Pound ne ek din mein 320 points ka izafa hua hai.
Kal, trading ke asul mein positions ka ek bada izafa hua, yahan tak keh chote speculators ko pause bhi nahin lene diya.
Kal mein farokht kar raha tha. Call satah se pahle do farokht aur risk premium ki range ko fauri taur par khatm kar diya gaya. Phir us ne us se zyada farokht shuru kar di, lekin in farokht ko stop loss ke sath khatm kar diya gaya.
Mukhtasar mein, munafa jo mujhe ek din pahle hasil hua tha, mujhe kal wapas karna tha.

Kal volume ke lehaz se tarding range bahut badi thi.
Filhal, sab se behtar satah jahan reversal mumkin hai, 1.13400 ki range aur 1.13000 futures prices par hai.
1.13200 ki satah izafe ko rokne mein nakam rahi. Isne sirf kal ke izafe mein delay kiya, lekin kisi bhi tarah ka mazbut hefazati radde amal zahir karne mein nakam rahi.
Natijatan, hamen fa-aal eqdamat ke liye 350 points ka range milta hai. Khair, aaiye aaj ke vote ko tamam sellers ke haq mein dalen jo kal ke izafe se hairan the.



1.3000 aur 1.12800 ke haq mein open interest mein tabdili ki gayi. In strikes mein naye put options ko shamil karna promising hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh koi wajah hai keh woh unhen kharid rahe hain. Is ka matlab hai keh girawat mumikin hai.
Hairat angez taur par, is tarah ki qimat mein izafe ke sath, call options ke taur par insurance ko mushkil tariqe se hasil kiya gaya tha. Lekin jo log insurance kharid sakte the, woh kal ki mazbut taraqqi ke khaufzadah nahin honge, kiyunkeh risk premium ke zariye mahdud kiya gaya hoga.



Aaj, maine sellers se mazbut qadmon ki tawaqqo karta hun, shayad kal bulls ne jo dikhaya us se bhi behtar.
Agar growth ka ek aur provocation hai, to mein ise naye low par farokht karunga jo kal hasil kiya gaya tha. Dusri surat mein, maine 1.12990 ke dur ke satah par take profit order place kiya.
Kal, ham deposit ka taqriban 12 fisad hasil karne mein kamyab rahe. Aaj, favorable conditions me mein 30 fisad izafe ki tawaqqo karta hun.