analytical forecast from trader with experience

Hello! Aaj ke liye satah par dilchasp sooratehaal hai. Euro ke liye, jaisa keh mujhe kal ummid thi keh ek hi satah par musalsal do lower OC borders se niche ek qila thi, lekin aaj bhi ek teesri sarhad hai, lehaza yah aakhir karobari din main isko todna mushkil hoga. Din ki shuruaat 1.2332-1.2344 ke lazmi zone ke tehat hua aur qimat iske niche chal rahi hai. Yah kal ke MZ ke sath satah par waqe hai, jo ki iske niche hai, jiska matlab hai selling levels. Baqi ke liye, kal ki tarah sab kuch abhi bhi usi satah par hai. Ham kya ummid kar sakte hai?! lazmi zone se OC ki nichli sarhad tak ucchad, jahan se ham wapsi ka intezar kar sakte hain aur MZ ke zariye todne ki koshish kar sakte hain, fir 1.2386 ke balance par jane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lehaza, ham ilaqon ke darmiyan sluggishness aur price movements ki ummid kar sakte hain jo maine iske shuru hone se pahle hi specify kiya tha.

Aaj, GBP/USD jori ne 1.4209 aur 1.4464 ke darmiyan extended zone ka tashkil kiya hai. Koi lazmi zone nahi hai jo mumkena uchhal aur rujhan me badlaw ki peshgoi karta ho. Filhaal, qimat March ke high par phans gaya hai. Agar ham March 26-27 ko wapas dekhenge, to ham pate hain keh kuch usi tarah chal raha hai. Yah jori North American aur Asian sessions me ek narrow range me trading kar raha tha. Musalsal do dinon ke liye usi satah par muaqid hone ke bad intraday balances toot gaye the. Un dino me, lazmi zone bhi missing tha. GBP/USD bhi usi narrow range me trading kar raha tha. Aaj, ham dekhenge ki taarikh khud ko dohrayengi ya nahi. Is darmiyan, meri trading hikmat amli se yah pta chalta hai keh khariddari ki jazb market me galib ho rahi hai. Taaham, aise nishaniyan maujood hai jo haalaat badal sakti hai. To yah sell order ke plan ke liye accha khayal hoga.

Hello, everyone. Pound abhi tak adjust nahin kiya gya hai, aur uspar kharid abhi bhi maujood hai lekin bahut edge par. Ab sirf H1 par, bulls resist karte hain, aur 3545 se niche consolidation jori ko niche bhejega. Taaham, mujhe bahut jyada girawat ki ummid nahin hai aur 35th figure ko 3535 se shurur hone wale strong supports se cover kiya gaya hai. Aham wala 3500 par hai, lekin bottoms qarib hai aur main annual low ka test karne ke liye 20-30p ko catch karne wala nahin hun. Bulls ke support me, main daily candles ko single out kar dunga jhan ek bhut powerful model, two-fractal candle dikhayi diya. History ko dekhen aur dekhen ki jab wo local high or low par dikhai dete hain to unka kya matlab hai. Lehaza, 35th figure ke top par pahunchne par, main sales ke bade haiise ko band kar dunga aur puchase me dakhil hone ke liye jagah ki talash karunga.

Euro ke liye, soorat haal badtar hai, lekin wo sirf niche wedge draw kar rhe hai aur iske baher aane ka rasta hamesha mukhalif simt me hoga. Is trah bullish wolfe pattern shuru hota hai. well-known trading system ke mutabiq, wo 1834 me din k balance tak pahunchne me qabil the aur mandatory zone 1843-72 hai, jis se frokht acchi trah se dekhai dega. Sach hai, agar ham is satah ko tod dete hai aur ooper se retest karte hain, to hamen whan kharidna hoga aur Asia ne dikhaya ki wo kaise tezi se ooper badh sakte hain. Mere buns ke mutabiq, 1932 par debt khin bhi gayab nhi hua hai aur apne waqt ka intezar kar raha hai, aur aaj din ki upri hadd 1873 par hai. Support levels, jhan se main kharidunga, is waqt 1814 aur 1882 hai. Jab ham wahan aaynge, qimaten mukhtalif hongi, lekin mujhe lagta hai ki tabdili maamuki hoga. Bottom 1760 hai uar yah ab local bottom nahin hai, lekin shayad yah sach hai.

Market ke bare me kuch alfaz. Aaj, Monday wo din hai jab koi sangin movement nahin hota hai jab tak keh "black" exception ke taur par nahin hota hai. Iske ilawa, aadha Europe rest kar raha hai aur koi news nahin hogi. Asia me kuch movement thi, aur main sirf guzishta hafte ke bare me soch sakta hun ki, Asia me Pound ke liye isi trah ki tahrik thi, yahan tak keh thora aur bhi ooper hi. Iske bad kya hua, hamen yad hai. Ab thin market me, ham ne niche ki tahrik hasil ki hai aur low ko break kiya gya tha, jise Europeans or Americans ki taraf se 2 hafte se overtake nahin kiya ja saka tha. Yah waqai me rujhan aur naye hadaf ya customers ko hatane ka ek tasulsul hai- Khud hi faisla kijiye. Aaj ke liye, taqriban tamam bottom ho chuka hai aur options 3405 par ek barrier aur 3380 par target pesh karti hai. Whan jo kuch bhi hota hai main kharidunga.

Hi, everyone!

Filhal, GBP/USD mere takniki satah se ooper trading kar rahi hai jo har 4 ghante me tabdil ho jati hai.



Haqiqat yah hai keh aaj ke liye hamare pas koi lazmi zone nahi hai, possible reversal ka ek accha sign hai. Yekkow line ek orientation point ke taur par kaam karti haim jisse hamen direction ko define karne me madad milti hai kyonkeh hamare pas koi mandatory zone nahi hai.

Is line se farokht karna accha hai. Rat bhar Market me kuch entries thi. Agarcheh mere pas abhi tak koi open deal nahi hai, main girawat ki tawaqqo kar raha hun. Mujhe nahin lagta keh channel ki upper boundary tootegi.

Lekin agar yah yellow line sath toot jata hai, aur qimat daily close par unke ooper hota hai, to main kal ek buy deal place karne ke bare me sochunga.

Hi, everyone!

Main aapko yen aur euro ke liye apna nuqtah nazar pesh karna chahta haun.
Trend niche ki janib hai, aur tab tak intezar karna senseless hoga jab tak keh qimat open buy trades karne liye new low tak nahin pahunchti hai. Pullback par sell trades open karna behtar hai. Current downward trend itni mazboot aur musalsal hai keh hamen market me dakhil hone ke liye correction level ko dekhne ki bhi zarurat nahin hai. Ek bar jab hamare pas correction ke maamuli sign ke bad, hamare pas aam taur par trade karne ka mauqa milega.
Bank ke signals ke mutabiq, trens ke jald khatm hone ka imkan nahin hai. 1.1500 ki janib girawat mumkin hai, kyonkeh yah bankon ke liye target level hai.



US dollar index par outlook accha hai. Bankon se koi signals nahin hai, lekin USD/CHF se signal hain jis main USDX ke sath taqriban 100% correlation hai.
Isliye, 0.9940 ki satah par bank jori ko farokht karne ka irada rakhta hai. I.e. pending order ko trigeer karne ke liye qimat ko thora ooper jane ki zarurat hai.
Bank ka hadaf 0.9400 par hai, yani ham 540 points ki girawat ki ummid kar sakte hain. Initially, USDX ke badhne ki uumid thi aur fir 90 satah ki janib piche hatna tha. Yah scenario franc ke signal ki taraf se tasdiq ki jati hai.



Dollar-yen pair par mje 110 se 105-103 ke satah tak ki girawat ki ummid hai.
Yah samajh me aata hai keh agar US dollar index girta hai, to dollar-yen pair bhi bearish bias me chalegi ya kam se kam sadeways trade kregi.
Is halaat me mujhe lagta hai keh girawat ki jyadah imkan hai. Maine pahle hi pahla order place kar diya hai. Agar mumkin ho to main apni trading volume me izafa karunga aur 105 ke satah par apne sell deals ko build karunga.

Assalam Alaikum!

May taqriban khatm ho chuka hai aur market bulls ko shikasht dene aur trend ko niche ki janib push karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Maine kabhi euro aur sterling ke kabhi itna doobne ki ummid nahi ki.

Qimat upper daily boundary par hai. Koi lazmi zone nahin hai, balance qimat se niche hai aur target aur support ka kirdar ada karti hai. Yahi wajah hai keh main euro ke 1411 tak pahunchne; aur pound ke 3135 par pahunchne ki ummid nahin karta hun. Halankeh, aaj budh hai aur main chahunga keh qimat downside ko breach kre.

Aur isi wajah se main farokht kiya. Main night high ke ooper stop place kiya kyonkeh aise sathon par farokht karna waqai me khatarnak hai.

Assalam Alaikum! Meri khawahish hai keh aap ka din accha guzre.

Wednesday ek aham trading din hai. aur pound sterling ka chart bahut dilchasp lag raha hai. Filhal jori rozanah ki sarhad ke qarib trading kar rahi hai. Guzishtah kuch dino me pahli bar daily balance ooper badha aur yah ishara karta hai keh bullish momentum kamzor ho gyi. 3470 ki satah sale trade open karne karne ke liye ek accha points hai. Iske ilawa, koi lazmi zone nahin hai.

Agar qimat 3397 se niche fix ho jati hai, to yah 3302 par support satah tak gir sakti hai. Agar 3397 nahin tooti hai, to izafa jari rahega.

Assalam Alaikum

Hamare ek forum participants ne likha ki 1,1688 buy trades kholne ke liye sabse accha satah hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh, yah acchi hikmat amli hai. Lekin qimat ke 1653 ko todne ka imkan nahin hai, kyonkeh yah niche hai aur bulls hame niche jane ki ijazat nahin dega.

Aaj ke liye, daily channel ki lower boundary 1730 par lazmi zone ki traf se 1712-35 par supported hai. Ti is satah par kharid ka sauda ideal hoga.



Jaisa keh mera technical indicators zahir karta hai keh, 1750 se ooper ka ilaqa kharid zone hai. 1810-40 ke satah aalaa hain jin par sell trades kafi faidemand ho sakte hain. Lehaza, main Americi session ki shuruaat tak sell trade kholne ke liye sahi waqt ka intezar karunga, aur 17th kharid satah se, kal ke girawat ke ilaqe me profit ko fix kar dunga.

Assalam Alaikum
Khair ek kahawat hai: market me girawat ke waqt khariden aur izafe par farokht karen. Lekin jab aap kisi padosi se sunte hain keh market me aaloo ya kuch doosre products saste ho rahe hai. Aapke dost kya karenge? ji han, woh kharidna shurur kar denge. Risk lene wale aur laalchi log us lamhe ka intezar karenge jab yah sasta kharidna mumkin hoga. Aur do options hain: wo ya to kam qimat par ya oonche qimat par kharid lenge; demand ki wajah se, qimaton me izafa ho jayega. Lekin agar qimaton me izafa na ho to yah aasani se kam qimat par kharida jayega, aur hamare pas product nahin hoga. Market ke sath bhi yahi hai. Wholesalers ke bajaye market makers hain.
Jumerat ko, unhone market me farokht kiya:



Market and hamare wholesalers dono ko qimat kam karne ki ijazat thi. Iske natije me, kayi nataiz dobara se hain:
Yah koi raz nahi hai keh khabron par, qimat sirf limit order se rok diya jata hai. Agar qimat kam ho gayi thi, to iska matlab hai keh MM market shorts out par kharidne ke liye nahin ja raha tha. Agar koi khariddari nahin hai, to aap rujhan tabdili ki ummid nahin kar sakte hain.



Taza tareen COT report yahan di gyi hai. Jaisa keh aap dekhe sakte hain, hamare pas 1.1510 se islahat par aham aces hain - tawil arse se shamil kiya gya hai. Euro ke liye, assets lead kar rahi hai. Lehaza, agar wo sasta euro kharidte hain, to unke targets top par hain.

Ek bahut hi khamosh tejarati din tha. Pound aur euro ke liye, qimat ek mahdood range main trade kiya gya tha. Afar Monday ke nataij ke bad euro 30 points se mazboot hone me kamyab tha, to pound, iske bar aks, usi 30 points se gir gya. Euro ke liye, aham tafsil par gaur karna chahiye. 1.1560 ke false breakout ka bhi kamyabi se test kiya gya tha. Is se, rujhan ne apni mazbooti shuru kar di. Is silsile me, ab 1.1630 aur 1.1560 par ek borders ke sath aham range maujood hai. Range ko toda nahi ja sakta. Mumkena taur par, aaj ham is had se aage badhenge. Wo khas output euro ke liye mazid rujhan ka ishara karega. Ab tak, mere pas frokht hai jo maamuli qarz me hai. Jaise hi 1.1630 se breakout aur istehkam hota hai, main farokht band kar dunga aur kharid shuru kar dunga. Jab tak qimat is range ke ander hai, tab tak trading ke liye koi naya signal nahi hoga. Izafe ke liye agam hadaf 1.1730 hai.



Pound ke liye, ab mere liye sooratehaal zyada wazeh hai. Maine 1.3262 par farokht kiya hai, aur abhi bhi ise barqarar rakhta hun. Euro ke bar aks, oopri range euro se behtar rakha jata hai. 1.3300 tak ki serah ki taraqqi nahin ki gyi hai. 1.3200 ke breakout ke sath sherah me kami bhi nakam ho gayi hai. Yah pata chala hai keh hamare pas 1.3300 se 1.3200 tak ki range hai. Agar aap is range ke ander trade karte hain to, sirf flat me hi. Zati taur par, is range se bahar breakout aur qimat ke istehkam ka intezar karunga. Ab mere pas ek farokht hai. Take profit ki satah 1.1512 par muqarrar ki gyi hai. Stop loss ki satah 1.1654 par muqarrar ki gayi hai.

Assalam Alaikum!

Kal euro ne 1560 par balance line se rebound ki aur aaj tassub bullish hai. Agarcheh 1551 se nicke ke elaqe me balance kam ho gyi hai, lazmi zone himayat ki satah ki taur par kaam karta hai aur 1626 par short-term target ooper ki rujhan ka ishara karta hai. Jab tak qimat 1685 par intraday channel ki oopri had se kam hai buy deal munasib hain.
Mere takniki ishare zahir karte hain keh din ka peak 16th figure ke top par hai. 1640 par resistance ko todna hamare liye aham hai. Support 1610 par paya gya hai jahan se main sell trades shuru karne ka mansooba bana raha hun.

Assalam Alaikum. Main aap sabhi ke acche tejarati din ki wish karta hun. Main is bat se ittefaq karta hun keh farokht sirf 1580 se niche mumkin hai, lekin hadaf daily option channel se niche hai aur yah 1550 hai. Mujhe nahi pta keh yah pareshan karne ke qabil hai, lekin 1587 se khariddari zyada dilchasp hai, iske alawa, yah lazmi zone ka bottom hai. Lehaza, agar 1608 par din ke balance ko push kiya jata hai, to trading zone ko dobahar test karne aur ooper badhne ke liye ek aur 20 pips ki zarurat hai. Aaj, yah 1671 par hai, aham chiz 1626 se ooper consolidate krna hai.

Aakhirkar, yah ek rahat ka din tha.
Main franc ke liye farokht ka pyramid aur GBP/CHF jori par khariddari ka pyramid fix kiya.
Yen ke liye, main farokht jari rakhhi. Bankon se frokht ke liye bahut sare signal hai. Fir, mujhe 109.50 ka breakout aur mazid girawat ke tasulsul ki tawaqqo hai.


Euro dollar ke khilaf.
Euro ke liye, main ahista ahista ek long position le raha hun.
Usi Citibank ne 1.1640 ke satah se kahriddari shuru ki.
Kam shuru karne me qimat ko kuch waqt laga, lekin yah aur bhi kam hone me kamyab raha.
Main kharid ke liye do aur refills open karne ke qabill tha. Ab islah ke simt me mere pas 3 positions hai. Majmui natijah ab tak musbat hai.
Un ka hadaf 1.2000 par hai, lehaza agar aap chahte hain, to aap shamil ho sakte hain.


CAD/JPY.
Yah is cross rate ke liye ek mumkena farokht sabit hua. 85.08 se aham farokht ke ilawa, pahle se hi do refills hain. Unhone unhen ek pullback par khola. Naye system ke tehat, 50 points ke step ke sath stop sale grid karna mumkin tha, aur ye sab sales operation me rahenge.
Ab, ek aur sale open karne ka mauqa hai. Tmam positions ke liye liye hadaf 81.00 par hoga.