analytical forecast from trader with experience

Lehaza, mein 1.3181 ki satah se short deals shuru karne ja raha hun. Lekin is shart par krh spike hai. Agar range ko push kiya jata hai to 1.3114 par farokht karen. Target, naya low 1.3000 hai.
Aaj ke liye bas itna hi. Mein sab ki kamyabi chahta hun.

Assalam Alaikum.
Mein options ko dekhne ke liye kal rat bahut sahih tha. Lehazam qimat 2690 tak pahunchne ka imkan hai, jabkeh 2951, aaj ki lower boundary hai.



Is hafte, GBP/USD jori apne highs ke ard gird session shuru karta hai, wahan rahta hai aur phir niche jata hai.



Aaj pound 3194-3202 ke aaspas consolidate hua, ham European session ka intezar kar rahe hain. Iske bad, jori ke 3083 par wapas jane ka imkan hai. Phir, ummid hai keh Mrs May sham mein pound ko crash kar dengi.
Mere indices seedhe ho gye hain. Abhi tak, woh niche ki taraf ishara nahin kar rahe hain. Intraday range 3143-3264 hai. Qimat ke liye accumulation ke zone 3187 se niche consolidate karna zaruri hai. Zone ki upper boundary 3205 hai.

Euro ke sath ek dilchasp suratehal hai.
Satah ooper chala gaya aur 1266 par din ki nichli satah se niche khula aur yah kami ki alamat hai. Yaumiyah tawazun 1298 hai. Aur mujhe lagta hai keh yah sabse zyada hai jise ham maujudah satah se nikal sakte hain. Phir se koi lazmi zone nahin hai aur yah reversal ke liye bhi signal hai. Khair, is surat mein, oopri ikhteyar ki sarhad 1337 hai.
Mere hisabat ke mutabiq, 1248-88 ki sathen din ki sarhaden hai aur unhen todne ka waqt hai.
Accumulation area ka top 1268 hai. Hal ham is sarhad ke sath muntaqil hue aur phir ise niche tod diya. Ab positions ko shamil kiya ja raha hai. Ab tak, mein niche ki movement ki tawaqqo karta hun - debts aur lazmi zone baqi hai. Maujudah satah se ya digar satah se? Mujhe nahin pata. Mein inkar nahin karta hun keh ham din ke tawazun tak pahunchenge. To aaiye dekhen keh yah kaise hota hai. Hamein zyada intezar nahin karna hoga, kiyunkeh Draghi ke khitab par khabar hamare movement ki raftar ko tez kar sakta hai.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Market overview

Is thread ke tamam guest aur traders ko Salam!
Peer ka din ka mushkil din mana jata hai. Halankeh, traders ke liye yah ek accha din hai, market me pesh raft hui hai, lehaza ham munafa hasil kar sakte hain.
Mujhe lagta hai keh waqai aap yahan yahi kar rahe hain.
To, aaiye ek mukhtasar jaiyezah len.
Mein EUR ke sath shuru karunga.

Qimat local high ke bad bechne wale ki jariyat ka samna kar sakti hai.
25 March ke liye delta aur volume ko dekhte hue, ham wahan kuch angry bears dekh sakte hain. Woh movement ko tod sakte hain. Waise bhi, aaiye dekhen keh high ko renew karne ke bad qimat kis tarah soluk karti hai. Mujhe waqai sellers aur buyers ke reaction ko dekhna chahta hun kiyunkeh durust hadaf muntakhab karna bahut aham hai.
Agar bears bulls ko niche dabayega to, ham long postion par rah sakte hain.Taham, sentiment abhi bhi bullish hai, lehaza mujhe qimat badhne ki ummid hai.

GBP

Yahan ham kharidaron ko niche ki taraf dekh sakte hain. Volume ke accumulate hone ke bad qimat badh gayi.
Chizen upside par bahut dilchasp ho gayi. Sellers ne buyers ko niche press kiya aur sell volumes ko accumulate kiya.
Halankeh, yah kahna mushkil hai keh yah zyadatar profit fix kar raha tha ya sell volumes me izafa kar raha tha. Hamein yah dekhna hoga keh in satahon par wapas aane par qimat kis tarah saluk karegi.
Chart se pata chalta hai keh kharidaron ke ilaqe me qimat wapas aane par kharidar dobara se active ho gaye. Agarcheh, choti meqdar hai, lehaza ham ias par tawajjoh nahin denge.
Hamein European aur American sessions ka intezar karne ki zarurat hai.
Aam taur par, mjhe uptrend ki tawaqqo hai, halankeh, qimat 1.1320 ke qarib aapne par hamein muhtat rahna chahiye.



Dusri taraf se is surathal ko dekhte hue, ham dekh sakte hain keh kuch sellers ne Jumah ko subah me apne positions ko band kar diya, aur qimat ooper ki taraf badh gayi, jahan breas traders ne apne volume me izafa kiya.
Yah kafi muntaqi hai.
Is plan ki tasdiq karne ke liye, qimat ko accumulation zone 1.3120-1.3130 ki janch karni chahiye aur 1.3150 par low ki tajdid karna chahiye.
Yah is bat ki tasdiq karega keh hamein short positions ke liye jana chahiye. Buy deals ke liye, mein price movements se hairan hun.
Upward movement mein bahut zyada effort karna hota hai, jabkeh niche jana bahut aasan hai. Lehaza movement mumkena taur par sirf downtrend ke liye taiyari ka rk mauqa hai kiyunkeh qimat ko aaj nahin to kal 1.12900 tak pahunchna hai.
Mein 3120 aur usse zayad se mid-term sell deals ke bare me soch raha haun.



Bottom line, maine mumkena taur par pound ke liye buy deals open karne me jaldi ki.
Mein suratehal ko dekhta rahunga.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum!
Pound market freeze ho gaya, lehaza kharidne wale aur bechne wale hain. Range 3077-3154 narrow ho rahi hai. Balance 3112 hai, yah abhi ke liye muzahmat ki satah bhi hai.
Yah suratehal tawil arse tak jari nahin rah sakta hai, ek aham movement hogi. Sawal yah hai keh yah kahan jayega.



Mere indices taqriban yahi taswir dikhati hain, sirf yah keh mere pas upper bound ke taur par 3122 aur bottom wale ke taur par 3072 hain. Khas taur par, ham accumulation ke zone me dakhil hue aur support level ke taur par ismein se ucchal nahin hua. 3097-3085 aaj ke liye aham zone hai. Aaj ki simt is zone ko book karne wale par depend karega. Asian trade kuch clue de sakta hai.



Jaisa keh options dikhata hai, mein 33th strike par nahin dekhunga. 3050 aur 3100 jaise qarib tarin strikes ko Forex levels 3134 aur 3451 ke sath lena behtar hai. Mein is se ooper nahin dekh raha hun. Niche ki satah 3010 se shuru hoti hai, yah zyada dilchasp hai.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum!

Pound sterling ne aakhirkar signal faraham kiye hain: ek me do! Mein ise ek accha movement man sakta tha, lekin iftetahi qimat oopri channel se kayi pips ooper thi jo keh tezi ki nishani hai.

Lehaza, mein channel ke niche ek mazbut break ka intezar kar raha hun. Sabse pahle, pound 2940-20 ki pas bottom tak pahunch sakta hai, aur phir yah 100 pips se rebound kar sakta hai.
Aaj ke liye trading range intehai tang hai: yah sirf 32 pips hai. Mujhe ummid hai keh qimat downside par 2931 aur upside par 3068 ke rebound satah tak pahunch jayegi. Halankeh, yah wazeh nahin hai keh aakhirkar kon sa rujhan banaya jayega. Mera mashwara hai keh qimat 1.130 ki taraf badh sakti hai, fir 80 pips pullback kar sakti hai, aur us ke bad hi yah dubara se rebound kar sakti hai.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Euro ke liye, suratehal usi tarah ki hai lekin itna wazeh nahin hai. Islah abhi tak khatm nahin hui hai aur sata aaj thori badh gayi hai. Top 1268 hai aur lazmi zone is se niche, 1260 tak hai. Din ka balance 1230 hai aur yah aaj ke liye kafi hai.
Iske alawa, 1280 ke ilaqe me pichle haftah ka debt hai aur agar mauqa mile to, mein wahan farokht shuru karne ki koshish karunga.



Din ki haden 1229-1275 hain, lehaza hamare pas kam karne ka ek jagah hai. Sach hai keh, 40 pips ka range ab kafi nahin hai, aur is wajah se bahut se traders zyada gair mustahkam joron par switch karte hain.
Accumulation zone ek qatar me tabdil ho gaya hai aur 1251-53 ab rujhan ko do hisson me taqsim karta hai: line ke ooper ka ilaqa growth ki nishandahi karta hai, jabkeh niche wala flat ki nishandahi karta hai. Ek taraf, mein aasani se dakhil ho sakta hun aur ghalat order place karne ki surat me ghalti durust kar sakta hun, dusri taraf, mein ise khatre me dalna nahin chahta hun.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Assalam Alaikum.
Aaj Budh ka din hai aur ham momentum hasil kar rahe hain.
Aaj, mein aham joron ke liye imkanat ka ek mukhtaras overview dene ki koshish karunga.
Aaiye euro se shuru karen.
Kal pata chala keh bears ki halat itni kharab nahin hai jitni ki dikhti hai. Qimat ko kharidar ke zone ki nichli hadd se bilkul niche kar diya gaya tha. Iske alawa, 2 April ko add kiye gaye volume ka ek behtarin test tha.



Aur phir ek reacton hua. Is jodi ne ek pin bar banayi, badil meqdar me shamil (fi ghanta 30k se zyada) kiya gaya, delta musbat tha, aur qimat wapas ooper ki taraf aa gayi.
Ab sabse aham bat yah samajhna hai keh aage kya tawaqqo karen?
Zati taur par, mujhe kam az kam 1.1173 ya us se niche ke ek aur downward movement ki tawaqqo hai.
1.1173 se niche, kharidaron ke bahut se stop loss orders rakhe gaye the, kiyub unke zaruye nahin guzarte?

CME data ke mutabiq, open interest me 5.2 hazar ka numaya izafa hua hai.
Turnover bhi badh gaya hai. Agar ham volume par deta aur open interest me badlaw ke sath delta ka mawazna karen to, hamein mundarja zail milega:
- Kal, kharidaron ne bottoms par dakhil hona shuru kiya;
- Sellers ne apne positions ko kam kar diya.
Fixes aur open positions ke darmiyan ka farq +5K contracts hai.



Lehaza, mein sabhi ke kamyab aur munafabaksh trading ki wish karta hun.

Yah hafte ka aakhri tejarati din hai. Hamesha ki tarah ho options hai. Pahla options islah hai, jabkeh dusra options bottoms ka test hai.
Pound.
TST ke mutabiq, aaj ki satah kal ki tarah hi hai, farq sirf chand points ka hai. Lekin 2912-38 ka lazmi zone dikhayi diya aur 2917 par din ki oopri hadd ko mazbut kiya gaya. Yah aaj ke liye growth ceiling hai.
Ham abhi tak bottom ke bare me bat nahin kar rahe hain, aham chiz 2848 par din ka balance hasil karna hai.



Mere hisabat ke mutabiq, din ka top 2929 hai, jabkeh bottom 2860 hai. Aakhirkar, ham accumulation ke ilaqe me dakhil hue. Zahir hai, girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye kafi taqat nahin hai. Lehaza, 2895 ab support ke taur par kam karega aur ham 2931 tak ke falt me rah sakte hain. Ooper ek breakout ka matlab yah hoga keh bulls ke pas upper hand hai aur correction shuru hoga. Is se pahle, bears ghalib ho gaya.



Kal, options ko kharab tariqe se trade kiya gaya tha aur traders ne put options ko band karna shuru kar diya tha. Yah ek wajah hai keh bulls ne fresh heart liya hai aur sab se dilchasp satah niche 2855 aur ooper 2931 hai.

Chart par, hamare pas ek ulta Head and Shoulders pattern hai, ya satah par dawab hai. Tamir ki unchai 50 points hai. 1.2915 ki neckline ko todne ke bad, 1.2970 ko dekhna mumkin hoga. 1.2938 se 1.2944 tak keh price range par khususri tawajjoh dena chahiye jahan hamare pas pure hafte ki maximum horizontal volumes hain. Agar ham maujudah se dakhil hote hain to, yah bahut khatarnak hoga, lekin zyada munafa hasil karne ka mauqa hoga.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Aaj, pound-dollar ki jori 2964 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yah option channel me sabse ooper hai. Lazmi zone 2920-29 hai aur ab support ke taur par kam karta hai. Daily balance 2898 hai aur yah qimat ke upward movement ko follow karna zari rakhta hai.
Lehaza mein niche (tarjihati taur par balance tak) spike ki tawaqqo karta hun, fir ham higher ya thora zyada higher ka test karne me kamyab honge.



Mere hisabat ke mutabiq, accumulation ka aham ilaqa 2930-13 hai. Hamein niche wahan jana chahiye.
Sab se dilchasp bat May ke contract ka istemal karte hue kal ka options trading hai: 2892 par put options me kami aur ab woh wahan nahin jana chahte hain. Waise, yah wahan hai jahan ab din ka balance hai. Lehaza, hamein ek koshish karni chahiye aur mein us jagah par farokht band kar dunga jahan ise roka jayega. Call options 2972 par aur din ki oopri hadd ke qarib fir se shuru hota hai. Lehaza ham higher ja sakte hain, lekin yah sirf 20 pips hai.

Re: analytical forecast from trader with experience

Aaj, satahon ke sath suratehal bahut dilchasp hai.
Sab se pahli bat keh, pound aur euro dono ke liye koi lazmi zone nahin hai. Iska matlab hai keh Jumah ke bad shayad hi tezi ki ummid ki ja sakti hai. Lekin reversal hasil karna mumkin hai.
Dusri bat yah keh, ham din ke lower option border (albeit by 1p) se niche khola, jis ka matlab hai keh yah girawat ke liye ishara hai.
Teesri bat keh, bahut se logon ne gap ka intezar kiya aur ise hasil kiya, lekin ooper nahin. Yah bar-aks hua.
Lehaza girawat ke liye bahut se preconditions hain. Sirf ek chiz jo mujhe pareshan karta hai wo hai 3255 par din ka balance - kisi sin, ham zarur wahan pahunchenge.



Mujhe abhi bhi accumulation 3092-63 ke ilaqe me kuch tabdiliyon ki tawaqqo hai, mujhe yad hai keh ham 3049 par debt ke qarib hai. Wahan mein farokht band kar dunga aur nitije ka intezar karunga.

Assalam Alaikum.
Pound sterling par koi lazmi zone nahin hai. Unhen aakhri bar panch din pahle dekha gaya tha, lehaza yah ek wazeh nishani hai keh tez raftar rebound ho sakta hai.
Aaj qimat pahle hi 2749 par ooper hi hadd tak pahunch gayi hai, lehaza yah mumkin hai keh qimat 2650 par balance line tak pahunch jayegi. Mein reversal ki ummid kar raha hun aur upside par ek farq meri tawaqqoaat ki tasdiq karta hai.



Mere indicators ishara karte hain keh qimat 2751 par supply zone ke qarib aa gayi hai. Ya to qimat is se niche rahti hai aur niche slide hoti hai, ya yah ooper satah ko todta hai. Is surat me 2815 tak ka izfa mumkin hoga. Agar aisa hota hai to, mujhe yah faisla karna hoga keh apne buy deals ka kya karna hai.

Yah GBPUSD jori ke chart par begair kisi lazmi zone ke sath chatha din hai.
Kal qimat 30 pips ki range me fans gaya tha, aur aaj aisa lag raha hai keh yah wahan rahegi. Halankeh, volatility thori badh sakti hai.
Range hi oopri hadd maujudah price line ki taraf kam ho gayi. Agar jori 2727 se ooper toot jata hai, to yah upward momentum hasil kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, downside par target valid bana hua hai. 2646 par balance line bears ke liye target hai.



Mere indicators signal dete hain keh channel ka break mumkin hai. Qimat 2701 se niche ya 2757 se ooper jayegi. Kal is jori ne supply zone me pakad banane ka koshish kiya, lekin yah din ke ikhtetam par isse bahar ho gaya. Ab, ham ek aur koshish dekh sakte hain. Agar GBPUSD 2731 se ooper rahta hai to, ek aur rally ke imkan me izafa hoga.



Waise, guzishta Budh ko bhi hamne range ke oopri hadd ke qarib flat trading ka scenario dekha tha jab qimat 29th figure ke pas fans gaya tha. Us waqt, yah bhi wazeh nahin tha keh aaya qimat ooper badhega yah 28th figure ki taraf slide karega. Aakhirkar, qimat niche gayi.
Aaj suratehal usi tarah ho sakti hai. Kal, bulls me control hasil karne ki koshish ki lekin rally ko 2747 par capp kiya gaya tha. Lehaza, hamein sirf intezar karna chahiye aur dekhna chahiye keh downward trend reverse karega ya jari rahega. Mujhe lagta hai keh reversal zyada mumkin hai.

Hamare jore ke bare me. Aaj hamari satah thik kal ki tarah hi hai. Mein hairan tha jab mujhe kal ke trade ke bare me taza CME report nahin mila. Lehaza, jab tak mein is ka intezar kar raha hun, mein sirf aapko apne system se taswir dikha sakta hun.
Jori ne girawat band kar diya, aur mere indices teesri bar horizontal ho gaya kiyunkeh qimat 1.30 ilaqe se bahar nikal gayi hai. Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh 1.27 ilaqe me lautne se reversal ki tasdiq hogi.



Mein is haqiqat ki taarif karta hun keh qimat accumulation zone me dakhil hua. Ab, support 1.2650 par hai, jabkeh 1.2681 ka breakout long positions ke accumulation ka ishara karega. Mein thora dukhi hun keh hamara oopri bound 1.2697 par hai, halankeh, jori is tak pahunch sakti hai.