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Mauzo: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

  1. #211
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 07th February 2020.

    Dollar on bid on NFP day - 07th February




    The Dollar has remained broadly underpinned following the round of solid US data releases on Thursday, including upbeat consumer confidence and a stabilization in manufacturing after passage of the trade deals. US payrolls will be the other main focus for markets today.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
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    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #212
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 10th February 2020

    Events to Look Out For Next Week 10th February 2020.




    *Markets are restive on the rapid spread of the nCoV and its impact on the global economy, especially after reports that factories in China will remain closed into next week. Meanwhile, any announcement about the prospects for trade talks between the UK and US could come into the spotlight. These come alongside growth rate data from the UK and Eurozone, RBNZ Monetary policy and US inflation.

    Monday 10 February 2020

    * Consumer Price Index (CNY, GMT 01:30) The Chinese CPI is expected to spike in January to 4.9%y/y following a steady December and after hitting its highest since 2012 in November.

    Tuesday 11 February 2020

    * Gross Domestic Product (GBP, GMT 09:30) The economys most important figure, Q4 GDP is expected to be higher at 1% q/q following the 0.4% reading for Q3.

    * Industrial and Manufacturing Production (GBP, GMT 09:30) The two indices are expected to have grown to 0.2% m/m and -0.1% respectively in December, with manufacturing production recovering partially from a -1.7% decline in the prior month.

    * Housing Starts and Building Permits (CAD, GMT 13:15) Housing starts slowed in December, to a 197.3k unit pace from a revised 204.3k rate in November. In January, the index is expected to bounce back to 210K. The separate building permits report revealed a 2.4% drop in values during November, while a growth up to 1% is anticipated for December.

    Wednesday 12 February 2020

    * Interest Rate Decision and Statement (NZD, GMT 20:00) RBNZ is expected to cut rates by 25 bp to 0.75%. The bank held rates steady at 1.00% in November, upending widespread expectations for a cut to 0.75%.

    Thursday- 13 February 2020

    * BoCs Governor Poloz speech and RBAs Governor Lowe speech (NZD, GMT 00:15)

    * Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 07:00) The German HICP inflation for January is seen steady at 1.6% y/y.

    * Consumer Price Index and core (USD, GMT 13:30) The headline CPI should rise 0.1% in January, with a 0.2% core price increase, following respective December readings of 0.2% and 0.1%. As-expected gains would result in a headline y/y increase of 2.4%, up from 2.3% in December.

    Friday 14 February 2020

    * Gross Domestic Product (EUR, GMT 07:00) German Preliminary Q4 results are expected to slow down, at an annualised rate of 0.9% compared to 1.0% last quarter. Eurozone GDP should remain unchanged.

    * Retail Sales (USD, GMT 13:30) Retail Sales are expected to have grown by 0.3% in January, and 0.4% for the ex-auto figure. Gasoline prices should have a neutral impact on retail activity, given an estimated slight -0.2% drop for the CPI gasoline index.

    * Michigan Sentiment (USD, GMT 15:00) US consumer sentiment rose to 99.8 in the final January print from the University of Michigan survey, versus 99.1 in the preliminary reading for this month. The index is up 0.5 ticks from Decembers 99.3. This is the best reading since the 100.0 in May. The preliminary February Michigan sentiment reading is forecast at 99.9.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #213
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 11th February 2020.

    Macro News & Events February 11 | 11th February 2020.




    FX News Today

    Another record close for Stocks EUR at 4 mth low, AUD recovers from 10 yr lows nCoV over 1,000 deaths and 43k infections Overnight China offers more stimulus, more reports GDP cud be down over 1% 2020 Powell, Lagarde & Carney ALL scheduled to speak to later.

    Today

    UK GDP, Ind. Production & Trade Balance, EU Growth Forecasts, JOLTS reports PLUS Powell, Lagarde and Carney all testify today plus back up speeches from Haskel (BOE) and Kashkari & Quarles (FED).

    Biggest (FX) Move overnight @ (07:00 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.53%) Rallied from 73.20 lows yesterday, breaching 20hr MA & PP (73.35) at (23:00). Over 200hr MA (73.65) & R1 (73.70) by (05:00). MAs and RSI both supportive, Stochastics overbought zone from 12:00 topped at 95.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
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    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #214
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 12th February 2020.

    FX Update A weaker Yen & Stronger Kiwi today - 12th February




    USDJPY, H1.
    The Yen remained soft while the Dollar bloc currencies extended recent gains as risk appetite in global markets held up, with a reported dip in new coronavirus (now Covid-19)cases in China being tonic for investors. Wall Street yesterday saw fresh record highs, while the MSCI Asia-Pacific equity index rose by another 1% today. USDJPY lifted through 110.00 to 110.13 and above Tuesdays high at 109.96. AUDJPY, now in its third consecutive day of ascent, carved out a five-day high at 74.23 , stalling at R2. AUDUSD and NZDUSD lifted to respective a six-day highs, at 0.6737 and 0.6476, while USDCAD fell to a six-day low at 1.3272. The RBNZ left policy on hold following a board meeting today, and also removed guidance for more rate cuts, saying that only a longer than currently anticipated impact from the Covid-19 outbreak would warrant any further easing. New Zealand also has an election this November. Governor Orr is due to testify later today (19:10 GMT) on todays MPC statement before Finance and Expenditure Select Committee.



    Elsewhere, EURUSD looks to have found a footing after a run of seven consecutive down days, steadying so far today around 1.0900-1.0925, above the four-month low that was printed at 1.0891. Cable edged out a six-day high at 1.2969, surpassing yesterdays high by a pip, while EURGBP ebbed to a nine-day low at 0.8413. The Pound is amid a phase of modest outperformance, with available January data out of the UK have shown a rebound in economic activity as the fog of political uncertainty cleared following the December general election, while Prime Minister Johnson announcing big plans for infrastructure projects. These have helped quell, for now, concerns about Brexit and divergence from the EU.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #215
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 14th February 2020.

    FX Update EUR Pressure continues - 14th February




    EURUSD, H1 / Weekly

    Germanys economy stagnated in Q4 last year, in line with a number of forecasts and a tad below consensus expectations, which had predicted a slight expansion of 0.1% q/q. Compared to negative quarterly prints in France and Italy, Germany is already the outperformer among the three big Eurozone countries and Q3 numbers for Germany were revised up to 0.2% from 0.1% reported initially. This left the working day adjusted annual rate 0.4% y/y a tad higher than anticipated, but down from 1.1% y/y in Q3. There is no full breakdown yet, but the stats office reported that private as well as public consumption slowed in the last quarter of 2019, while investment was mixed with construction investment, expanding again. Exports contracted, while imports picked up according to first estimate. Looking ahead, exports are likely to continue to suffer and orders numbers are predicting another weak quarter for manufacturing, which leaves the risk that the labour market will start to suffer. The balance of risks clearly is tilted to the downside not just for Germanys economy.

    The Euro posted fresh lows against the Dollar and other currencies, while both the safe haven Yen and Swiss franc lost yesterdays bid as the daily increment of new coronavirus cases in China fell back alongside narratives that are downplaying yesterdays jump in total reported cases in Hubei province as being just a reclassification. EURUSD posted a fresh 34-month low at 1.08265, and is set for its biggest two-week loss since July 2019. Today, the German GDP helped lift it to 1.0840 with the broader GDP data for the wider Eurozone yet to come. EURJPY printed a four-month low, at 118.86, and EURCHF a near-five-year-low, at 1.0609. EURGBP yesterday saw a two-month low below at 0.8295.

    Elsewhere, USDJPY settled in the upper 109.00s, above the four-day low seen yesterday at 109.61. Cable consolidated gains seen yesterday, holding just shy of the nine-day high at 1.3069.



    The EURUSD low earlier tested the S2 and 161.8 Fibonacci extension low of the December rally at 1.0820, below there is the daily lower channel at 1.0750. In the the longer term the 161.8 Fibonacci extension level from the Q419 rally is at 1.0650 and then the psychological 1.0500. The Q419, against the trend, re-trace rally came from this over extension from the 200-day moving average which is where we are now, so some retrace to possibly the 1.1050-75 zone could be expected.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #216
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 17th February 2020

    Events to Look Out For Next Week 17th February 2020.




    *Uncertainties over the extent of the economic damage from the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) will keep the markets on shaky footing near term. Elsewhere, focus will be on Europe following Germanys economic stagnation in Q4 last year as seen today. Looking ahead, ZEW exports and manufacturing remain in the spotlight. That said, further contraction on these leaves the risk that the labour market will start to suffer. The balance of risks is clearly tilted to the downside, and not just for Germanys economy.

    Monday 17 February 2020

    * Eurogroup Meeting

    * US Bank Holiday US banks will be closed in observance of Presidents Day NYSE, Nasdaq and Bond markets are all fully closed.

    Tuesday 18 February 2020

    * RBA Minutes (AUD, GMT 00:30) The RBA minutes will provide more insight on the views the Australian Central Bank has about the economy.

    * Average Earnings and Unemployment (GBP, GMT 09:30) Earnings are expected to have slowed by 3.1% in the last quarter of 2019, while the ILO Unemployment Rate for the 3 months to December is seen steady at 3.8%.

    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 10:00) German Economic Sentiment for February is projected at 15.0 from the 26.7 seen last month, as the current conditions indicator for Germany declines further. The overall Eurozone reading though is expected to rise to 30.0 from 25.6.

    * Trade Balance (JPY, GMT 23:50) Japanese imports should decrease -15.8% y/y in January, compared to -4.9% in December, in expectation of lower domestic consumption. Overall, the trade balance is expected to have worsened in January.

    Wednesday 19 February 2020

    * Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 09:30) Prices are expected to have eased in January, with overall inflation expected to stand unchanged at 1.3% y/y, and core at 1.5% from 1.4% y/y last month.

    * Consumer Price Index (CAD, GMT 13:30) Prices are expected to have improved to 0.1% in January following a flat CPI in December. The overall inflation should have expanded in January to a 2.2% y/y, matching Decembers reading.

    * FOMC Minutes (USD, GMT 19:00) The FOMC minutes will provide more insight on the views the FED has about the economy.

    Thursday- 20 February 2020

    * Employment Data (AUD, GMT 00:30) Employment change s.a. is expected to have increased by 31K in Australia in January, compared to 28.9K in December. The unemployment rate is expected to have increased to 5.2%.

    * Retail Sales (GBP, GMT 09:30) Following the unexpected 0.6% m/m contraction in UK retail sales in December, Retail Sales are expected to grow by 0.6% in January.

    * ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (EUR, GMT 12:30) The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, similar to the FOMC minutes, provide information with regard to the policymakers rationale behind their decisions.

    * National CPI Index (JPY, GMT 23:30) The Japanese price index should fall to 0.7% on a y/y basis, compared to 0.8% in December.

    Friday 21 February 2020

    * EU PMIs (EUR, GMT 09:00) Both manufacturing and services February PMIs are expected to have dropped, leaving the composite at 51.0, down from 51.3 in the preliminary release for February. In Germany meanwhile, composite PMI should slow to 50.7 from 51.2.

    * UK Service PMI (GBP, GMT 09:30) The final services PMI for January was unexpectedly revised up, to 53.9 from 52.9 in the preliminary estimate, and the highest level in 16 months.

    * Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 10:00) CPI inflation is forecasted to hold at 1.4% y/y as seen in January.

    * Retail Sales (CAD, GMT 13:30) Core Canadian sales are anticipated to have risen by 0.4% m/m in December, compared to 0.2% m/m in November.

    * US PMIs (USD, GMT 14:45) The Manufacturing PMI is expected to have increased to 52.5 in February, compared to 51.9 in January, while the Services PMI is expected to have slowed to 52.9.

    * Existing Home Sales (USD, GMT 14:45) We expect a 0.4% rise in existing home sales in January to a 5.560 mln pace, after a rise to 5.540 mln in December. Pending home sales have grown substantially since Q4 of 2018, though we saw a big -4.9% pull-back in December.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  7. #217
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 18th February 2020.

    UK Week Ahead - 18th February




    The data calendar this week is quite busy, featuring, in chronological order, monthly labour market data today, January inflation figures (Wednesday), January retails sales (Thursday), and the preliminary January PMI surveys (Friday).

    The UK employment is anticipated to hold steady at 3.8% in December data, though the average household income to dip to a 3.1% y/y rate in the three months to December. The headline CPI has forecasted to remain unchanged at 1.3% y/y rate, which is well off the BoEs 2.0% target, though would fit the central banks projections. A 0.6% m/m rebound in retail sales is expected following the 0.6% contraction in December. As for the preliminary PMI data, the market consensus if for a dip in the headline composite reading, to 52.7 from 53.3, with service sector expansion seen slowing after the acceleration in January, and manufacturing sector activity dipping back into mild contraction.

    Overall, the as-expected data will affirm a picture of a post-election rebound in activity. This, combined with markets anticipating a fiscally expansive 2020-21 budget presentation from the government in March, should keep the pound underpinned. The impact of the coronavirus hasnt, by anecdotal measures, been much as yet.

    On the Brexit front, concerns persist. The government has clearly signalled that it aims for divergence from the EU, and leave, without a new trading agreement if necessary, the Brexit transition period at the end of the year. This would imply the UK shifting to WTO trading terms and conditions, which would erode terms of trade. Bear in mind that when the UK leaves transition phase, it wont just be leaving the EUs single market and customs union, but also the 40 free trade agreement that the Union has around the globe.



    In currency market meanwhile, Cable has continued to consolidate gains seen mid last week following signs that the government is gearing up a fiscally expansive policy. The pair has pullback to 1.3000 area, off from the two-week high of last Thursday at 1.3069.

    On the year-to-date, and from the mid-December election, the Pound has been trading mixed versus the other main currencies, lacking domestically generated directional bias. Political developments have seen UK Prime Minister Johnson strengthen his power, most notably with last weeks resignation of Chancellor of the Exchequer Sajid Javid, who was replaced by Rishi Sunak, which effectively green lights a fiscally expansive policy to finance major infrastructure projects (details are due to be announced at the governments 2020-21 budget presentation in March).

    Available January data out of the UK have also confirmed a rebound in economic activity as the fog of political uncertainty cleared following the general election. On the negative side of the balance are persisting concerns about Brexit.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  8. #218
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 20th February 2020.

    Yen tumble continues - 20th February




    The Yen has continued to tumble, and is showing a near 2% decline against the Dollar from yesterdays opening levels.USDJPY printed a 10-month high at 112.10, just 28 pips away from its 10-month high, and EURJPY posted a 2-week high, at 121.00.

    There have been reports over the last day of major fund managers cutting yen longs, including against short regional Asian currency hedge positions, though most Asian currencies came under fairly heavy pressure today amid concerns about the coronavirus outbreak spreading regionally at an increased rate. There has also been talk of Japanese funds buying US Treasuries. While China reported a large drop in new coronavirus cases, just as the PBoC delivered an expected rate cut, South Korea and Japan reported increases in new cases.

    This news led to a mixed performance among Asian equity markets, with China outperforming while other benchmark indices sputtered. Trying to call the point of peak contagion, and thereby the peak of economic disruption, is tough, though the consensus seems to be that it will happen in March or April, aided by the arrival of warmer weather in the northern hemisphere (although scientists arent exactly sure if warm weather will have the same quelling effect as it does on flu and cold viruses).

    Japans Q4 GDP data, released on Monday, disappointed, showing a 1.6% q/q contraction versus the median forecast for -0.9%. Q3 data were also revised down, and the figures came amid expectations for a dismal current quarter performance given the impact of measures to contain the virus outbreak.

    There is a risk that USDJPY might sharply reverse gains should risk appetite in global markets deteriorate and sustain. Intraday meanwhile, momentum indicators continue their positive configuration, suggesting that despite the fact that the asset reached overbought territory there is still room to the upside. Stochastics slopes into overbought area and MACD extends above signal line suggesting strengthening of positive bias, whilst ATR posted a 16 pips move. Some correction could be seen ahead of US session, with immediate Support at 112.00 and 111.58 (yesterdays peak), however the overall outlook remains positive. Resistance sits at 2019 peak , i.e. 112.38 and at 112.66 (R2 of the day).


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  9. #219
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 21st February 2020.

    GBPUSD A Bear Trap? 21st February




    GBPUSD, H4
    This pair has been down significantly for two days to a new two-month low at 1.2848, although the UK economic data was relatively positive on both days. On Wednesday (February 19) it was retail prices, PPI and CPI, all of which came out well, and strengthened the GBP for a short time. However, shortly after the key data announcement the pair continued to plummet heavily into and during the US market. Wednesday closed down around 78 pips and Thursday (February 20) was the same, as the UK Retail Sales numbers came out positive. But the pair still closed down more than 35 pips as the Dollar remained dominant.

    US economic data also came out well on both days, and the US Dollar Index managed to reach an almost 3 year high at 99.79, while Brexit trade negotiations between the UK and the EU began to turn around again. In the case that the UK may have to leave the EU without a deal after the French Finance Minister has come out to comment that we are separated.

    From a technical perspective, the breakout of the support zone yesterday (February 20) at 1.2880 caused the H4 time frame to print signs of a bear trap, which must continue to develop to see if the pair can go up or not. In the Day time frame, yesterday the price came down to test the key support at the EMA 200 line and bounce back up. This makes todays first support level 1.2880. If the price goes down and is able to pass this level, the next support level will be at yesterdays low at around 1.2850, but if the price continues to rise there is resistance waiting at 1.2925 and 1.2950.

    However, today on the economic calendar there is still important economic data waiting. At 16:30, the UK announces PMI numbers for both manufacturing and services. At 21.45 hrs onwards, the United States will announce PMI and monthly home sales figures for January.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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    Market Analyst HF Educational Office Thailand
    HotForex

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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 24th February 2020

    Events to Look Out For Next Week 24th February 2020.




    *The economic data has been and will continue to be overshadowed by the Covid-19 outbreak. The week ahead starts light, with the German Business Sentiment Index and Chinese Retail Sales on Monday. Leading indicators dominate the releases, but the event of the week is the US GDP and Consumer Confidence, which should shed light on whether the epidemic is visible in the data globally.

    Monday 24 February 2020

    * Japan Emperors Birthday

    * Retail Sales (CNY, GMT N/A) Chinas retail trade growth stood at 8 percent year-on-year in December 2019. However a strong decline is expected for January, following the recent releases indicating that new car sales plunged 92% in China in February and airline traffic is expected to post the first drop since 2011 amid heavy virus containment measures in China.

    * German IFO (EUR, GMT 09:00) The German Business Sentiment Index released by the CESifo Group is closely watched as an early indicator of current conditions and business expectations in Germany. Februarys numbers are expected to incline.

    Tuesday 25 February 2020

    * Leading Economic Index (JPY, GMT 05:00) The index is expected to show no change in the outlook of the Japanese economy and stand at 91.6.

    * Gross Domestic Product (EUR, GMT 07:00) German GDP is expected to have fallen by 0.3% on an annualized rate in the last quarter of the year, compared to 1.0% growth in Q3.

    * Conference Board Consumer Confidence (USD, GMT 15:00) Consumer Confidence is expected to have increased to 132.4 compared to 131.6 in the previous month.

    Wednesday 26 February 2020

    * New Home Sales (USD, GMT 15:00) The housing recovery should extend into 2020, assuming that mortgage rates remain low and Fed policy remains accommodative. The January new home sales should post a 2.3% climb to a 710k pace, after a dip to a 694k rate in December, versus a 12-year high of 730k in September.

    * Trade Balance (NZD, GMT 21:45) The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. It will be interesting to see whether the New Zealand trade balance already posts an impact from the epidemic.

    Thursday- 27 February 2020

    * Gross Domestic Product (USD, GMT 13:30) US preliminary GDP growth for Q4 is expected to trim to 2.0% from 2.1%.

    * Durable Goods (USD, GMT 13:30) Durable goods orders are expected to fall -1.5% in January with a -4.7% drop in transportation orders. Defense orders should fall by -29%, following the 101.4% December surge. Boeing orders declined to zero planes, following a dismal 3 planes in January.

    * Tokyo Core CPI and Unemployment Rate (JPY, GMT 23:30) Tokyo CPI is usually a good proxy for the Japanese economys overall inflation rate. In February, the CPI ex Food is expected to have stood at 0.9% y/y. The unemployment rate is expected to have climbed to 2.3% from 2.2% in December.

    * Retail Sales (JPY, GMT 23:50) Following a precipitous 3-month dive in October -December, due to a prolonged hit to exports from soft global demand and a slide in consumer spending following a nationwide tax hike, Januarys Retail Sales are expected to drop to -1.1% on a y/y basis.

    Friday 28 February 2020

    * Unemployment Rate (EUR, GMT 08:55) The German unemployment rate is expected to have remained at 5% in February.

    * Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 13:00) The German HICP inflation could rise to 0.3% m/m for February from the drop seen at -0.6% m/m last month.

    * Gross Domestic Product (CAD, GMT 13:30) A sharp slowing in Canadas real GDP growth rate to 1.2% (q/q, saar) is expected in Q4 following the 1.3% Q3 growth. This should not add to the backing for a rate cut for the Bank of Canada.

    * Personal Income (USD, GMT 13:30) A 0.3% rise in personal income in January is anticipated after a 0.2% increase in December, alongside a 0.2% rise in consumption that follows a 0.3% December gain.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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