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Mauzo: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

  1. #211
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 07th February 2020.

    Dollar on bid on NFP day - 07th February




    The Dollar has remained broadly underpinned following the round of solid US data releases on Thursday, including upbeat consumer confidence and a stabilization in manufacturing after passage of the trade deals. US payrolls will be the other main focus for markets today.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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  3. #212
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 10th February 2020

    Events to Look Out For Next Week 10th February 2020.




    *Markets are restive on the rapid spread of the nCoV and its impact on the global economy, especially after reports that factories in China will remain closed into next week. Meanwhile, any announcement about the prospects for trade talks between the UK and US could come into the spotlight. These come alongside growth rate data from the UK and Eurozone, RBNZ Monetary policy and US inflation.

    Monday 10 February 2020

    * Consumer Price Index (CNY, GMT 01:30) The Chinese CPI is expected to spike in January to 4.9%y/y following a steady December and after hitting its highest since 2012 in November.

    Tuesday 11 February 2020

    * Gross Domestic Product (GBP, GMT 09:30) The economys most important figure, Q4 GDP is expected to be higher at 1% q/q following the 0.4% reading for Q3.

    * Industrial and Manufacturing Production (GBP, GMT 09:30) The two indices are expected to have grown to 0.2% m/m and -0.1% respectively in December, with manufacturing production recovering partially from a -1.7% decline in the prior month.

    * Housing Starts and Building Permits (CAD, GMT 13:15) Housing starts slowed in December, to a 197.3k unit pace from a revised 204.3k rate in November. In January, the index is expected to bounce back to 210K. The separate building permits report revealed a 2.4% drop in values during November, while a growth up to 1% is anticipated for December.

    Wednesday 12 February 2020

    * Interest Rate Decision and Statement (NZD, GMT 20:00) RBNZ is expected to cut rates by 25 bp to 0.75%. The bank held rates steady at 1.00% in November, upending widespread expectations for a cut to 0.75%.

    Thursday- 13 February 2020

    * BoCs Governor Poloz speech and RBAs Governor Lowe speech (NZD, GMT 00:15)

    * Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 07:00) The German HICP inflation for January is seen steady at 1.6% y/y.

    * Consumer Price Index and core (USD, GMT 13:30) The headline CPI should rise 0.1% in January, with a 0.2% core price increase, following respective December readings of 0.2% and 0.1%. As-expected gains would result in a headline y/y increase of 2.4%, up from 2.3% in December.

    Friday 14 February 2020

    * Gross Domestic Product (EUR, GMT 07:00) German Preliminary Q4 results are expected to slow down, at an annualised rate of 0.9% compared to 1.0% last quarter. Eurozone GDP should remain unchanged.

    * Retail Sales (USD, GMT 13:30) Retail Sales are expected to have grown by 0.3% in January, and 0.4% for the ex-auto figure. Gasoline prices should have a neutral impact on retail activity, given an estimated slight -0.2% drop for the CPI gasoline index.

    * Michigan Sentiment (USD, GMT 15:00) US consumer sentiment rose to 99.8 in the final January print from the University of Michigan survey, versus 99.1 in the preliminary reading for this month. The index is up 0.5 ticks from Decembers 99.3. This is the best reading since the 100.0 in May. The preliminary February Michigan sentiment reading is forecast at 99.9.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #213
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 11th February 2020.

    Macro News & Events February 11 | 11th February 2020.




    FX News Today

    Another record close for Stocks EUR at 4 mth low, AUD recovers from 10 yr lows nCoV over 1,000 deaths and 43k infections Overnight China offers more stimulus, more reports GDP cud be down over 1% 2020 Powell, Lagarde & Carney ALL scheduled to speak to later.

    Today

    UK GDP, Ind. Production & Trade Balance, EU Growth Forecasts, JOLTS reports PLUS Powell, Lagarde and Carney all testify today plus back up speeches from Haskel (BOE) and Kashkari & Quarles (FED).

    Biggest (FX) Move overnight @ (07:00 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.53%) Rallied from 73.20 lows yesterday, breaching 20hr MA & PP (73.35) at (23:00). Over 200hr MA (73.65) & R1 (73.70) by (05:00). MAs and RSI both supportive, Stochastics overbought zone from 12:00 topped at 95.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #214
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 12th February 2020.

    FX Update A weaker Yen & Stronger Kiwi today - 12th February




    USDJPY, H1.
    The Yen remained soft while the Dollar bloc currencies extended recent gains as risk appetite in global markets held up, with a reported dip in new coronavirus (now Covid-19)cases in China being tonic for investors. Wall Street yesterday saw fresh record highs, while the MSCI Asia-Pacific equity index rose by another 1% today. USDJPY lifted through 110.00 to 110.13 and above Tuesdays high at 109.96. AUDJPY, now in its third consecutive day of ascent, carved out a five-day high at 74.23 , stalling at R2. AUDUSD and NZDUSD lifted to respective a six-day highs, at 0.6737 and 0.6476, while USDCAD fell to a six-day low at 1.3272. The RBNZ left policy on hold following a board meeting today, and also removed guidance for more rate cuts, saying that only a longer than currently anticipated impact from the Covid-19 outbreak would warrant any further easing. New Zealand also has an election this November. Governor Orr is due to testify later today (19:10 GMT) on todays MPC statement before Finance and Expenditure Select Committee.



    Elsewhere, EURUSD looks to have found a footing after a run of seven consecutive down days, steadying so far today around 1.0900-1.0925, above the four-month low that was printed at 1.0891. Cable edged out a six-day high at 1.2969, surpassing yesterdays high by a pip, while EURGBP ebbed to a nine-day low at 0.8413. The Pound is amid a phase of modest outperformance, with available January data out of the UK have shown a rebound in economic activity as the fog of political uncertainty cleared following the December general election, while Prime Minister Johnson announcing big plans for infrastructure projects. These have helped quell, for now, concerns about Brexit and divergence from the EU.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #215
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 14th February 2020.

    FX Update EUR Pressure continues - 14th February




    EURUSD, H1 / Weekly

    Germanys economy stagnated in Q4 last year, in line with a number of forecasts and a tad below consensus expectations, which had predicted a slight expansion of 0.1% q/q. Compared to negative quarterly prints in France and Italy, Germany is already the outperformer among the three big Eurozone countries and Q3 numbers for Germany were revised up to 0.2% from 0.1% reported initially. This left the working day adjusted annual rate 0.4% y/y a tad higher than anticipated, but down from 1.1% y/y in Q3. There is no full breakdown yet, but the stats office reported that private as well as public consumption slowed in the last quarter of 2019, while investment was mixed with construction investment, expanding again. Exports contracted, while imports picked up according to first estimate. Looking ahead, exports are likely to continue to suffer and orders numbers are predicting another weak quarter for manufacturing, which leaves the risk that the labour market will start to suffer. The balance of risks clearly is tilted to the downside not just for Germanys economy.

    The Euro posted fresh lows against the Dollar and other currencies, while both the safe haven Yen and Swiss franc lost yesterdays bid as the daily increment of new coronavirus cases in China fell back alongside narratives that are downplaying yesterdays jump in total reported cases in Hubei province as being just a reclassification. EURUSD posted a fresh 34-month low at 1.08265, and is set for its biggest two-week loss since July 2019. Today, the German GDP helped lift it to 1.0840 with the broader GDP data for the wider Eurozone yet to come. EURJPY printed a four-month low, at 118.86, and EURCHF a near-five-year-low, at 1.0609. EURGBP yesterday saw a two-month low below at 0.8295.

    Elsewhere, USDJPY settled in the upper 109.00s, above the four-day low seen yesterday at 109.61. Cable consolidated gains seen yesterday, holding just shy of the nine-day high at 1.3069.



    The EURUSD low earlier tested the S2 and 161.8 Fibonacci extension low of the December rally at 1.0820, below there is the daily lower channel at 1.0750. In the the longer term the 161.8 Fibonacci extension level from the Q419 rally is at 1.0650 and then the psychological 1.0500. The Q419, against the trend, re-trace rally came from this over extension from the 200-day moving average which is where we are now, so some retrace to possibly the 1.1050-75 zone could be expected.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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  8. #216
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 17th February 2020

    Events to Look Out For Next Week 17th February 2020.




    *Uncertainties over the extent of the economic damage from the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) will keep the markets on shaky footing near term. Elsewhere, focus will be on Europe following Germanys economic stagnation in Q4 last year as seen today. Looking ahead, ZEW exports and manufacturing remain in the spotlight. That said, further contraction on these leaves the risk that the labour market will start to suffer. The balance of risks is clearly tilted to the downside, and not just for Germanys economy.

    Monday 17 February 2020

    * Eurogroup Meeting

    * US Bank Holiday US banks will be closed in observance of Presidents Day NYSE, Nasdaq and Bond markets are all fully closed.

    Tuesday 18 February 2020

    * RBA Minutes (AUD, GMT 00:30) The RBA minutes will provide more insight on the views the Australian Central Bank has about the economy.

    * Average Earnings and Unemployment (GBP, GMT 09:30) Earnings are expected to have slowed by 3.1% in the last quarter of 2019, while the ILO Unemployment Rate for the 3 months to December is seen steady at 3.8%.

    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 10:00) German Economic Sentiment for February is projected at 15.0 from the 26.7 seen last month, as the current conditions indicator for Germany declines further. The overall Eurozone reading though is expected to rise to 30.0 from 25.6.

    * Trade Balance (JPY, GMT 23:50) Japanese imports should decrease -15.8% y/y in January, compared to -4.9% in December, in expectation of lower domestic consumption. Overall, the trade balance is expected to have worsened in January.

    Wednesday 19 February 2020

    * Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 09:30) Prices are expected to have eased in January, with overall inflation expected to stand unchanged at 1.3% y/y, and core at 1.5% from 1.4% y/y last month.

    * Consumer Price Index (CAD, GMT 13:30) Prices are expected to have improved to 0.1% in January following a flat CPI in December. The overall inflation should have expanded in January to a 2.2% y/y, matching Decembers reading.

    * FOMC Minutes (USD, GMT 19:00) The FOMC minutes will provide more insight on the views the FED has about the economy.

    Thursday- 20 February 2020

    * Employment Data (AUD, GMT 00:30) Employment change s.a. is expected to have increased by 31K in Australia in January, compared to 28.9K in December. The unemployment rate is expected to have increased to 5.2%.

    * Retail Sales (GBP, GMT 09:30) Following the unexpected 0.6% m/m contraction in UK retail sales in December, Retail Sales are expected to grow by 0.6% in January.

    * ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (EUR, GMT 12:30) The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, similar to the FOMC minutes, provide information with regard to the policymakers rationale behind their decisions.

    * National CPI Index (JPY, GMT 23:30) The Japanese price index should fall to 0.7% on a y/y basis, compared to 0.8% in December.

    Friday 21 February 2020

    * EU PMIs (EUR, GMT 09:00) Both manufacturing and services February PMIs are expected to have dropped, leaving the composite at 51.0, down from 51.3 in the preliminary release for February. In Germany meanwhile, composite PMI should slow to 50.7 from 51.2.

    * UK Service PMI (GBP, GMT 09:30) The final services PMI for January was unexpectedly revised up, to 53.9 from 52.9 in the preliminary estimate, and the highest level in 16 months.

    * Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 10:00) CPI inflation is forecasted to hold at 1.4% y/y as seen in January.

    * Retail Sales (CAD, GMT 13:30) Core Canadian sales are anticipated to have risen by 0.4% m/m in December, compared to 0.2% m/m in November.

    * US PMIs (USD, GMT 14:45) The Manufacturing PMI is expected to have increased to 52.5 in February, compared to 51.9 in January, while the Services PMI is expected to have slowed to 52.9.

    * Existing Home Sales (USD, GMT 14:45) We expect a 0.4% rise in existing home sales in January to a 5.560 mln pace, after a rise to 5.540 mln in December. Pending home sales have grown substantially since Q4 of 2018, though we saw a big -4.9% pull-back in December.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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