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Mauzo: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

  1. #81
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 12th June 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th June 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Market sentiment turned cautious again ahead of the G-20 summit.

    * Bund yields declined from the off, as Treasuries rallied following President Trumps criticism.

    * President Trump said it is he who is holding up the China trade deal until the country returns to agreed terms. He also stepped up his criticism of the Fed, saying rates are way too high.

    * He also stated that the EUR and other currencies devalued against the Dollar.

    * Stock market sentiment turned cautious again and Asian markets are mostly in the red, as are European and US futures.

    * This underpinned Treasury yields and saw yields coming down again. A -1.74% decline in the Hang Seng led broad losses in Asian stock markets, amid protests in the city and signs of rising funding costs.

    * The WTI future fell back below the $53 per barrel market.

    * The European data calendar is focusing on UK inflation numbers and ECBs Draghi is set to speak amid signs that council members are split on the assessment of inflation expectations.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * EURUSD is trading at 1.335 maintained a narrow trading band, with the Dollar overall largely in a holding pattern, following fairly steep losses seen over the past week or so. The pricing in of US rate cuts will limit EURUSDs downside potential going forward, though the ECBs dovish policy stance will limit the Euros advances. As a result, range trade mentality may be in the cards for the time being. Support comes at Fridays 1.1252 bottom, with Resistance at Fridays high of 1.1347, then the 200-day moving average at 1.1367.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * ECBs President Draghi speech (EUR, GMT 08:15)

    * Consumer Price Index and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) Mays CPI has been estimated at a 0.1% gain in headline CPI with a 0.2% increase in core prices, following respective April readings of 0.3% and 0.1%. As-expected gains would result in a headline y/y gain of 1.9%, down from 2.0% in April, while core prices should rise 2.1%, a steady pace from April. Overall, the inflation outlook remains benign, though with an updraft into the end of Q1 and early Q2 from a petroleum price rebound that lost steam into May.

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #82
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 13th June 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 13th June 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Treasury yields have fallen back -1.2 bp to 2.108%, as weaker than expected CPI numbers out of the U.S. yesterday adding to speculation of rate cuts in the US.

    * Fed funds futures price in about 80% chance for rate cut by by end of July.

    * Asian bond markets were mostly supported, although JGBs corrected and the 10-year yield moved up 0.5 bp to -0.118% as a stronger Yen curbed investor appetite for Japanese assets.

    * Stock markets mostly remained under pressure in Asia, with the Hang Seng declining -0.79% as large political demonstrations continue to unsettle investors.

    * In Europe German HICP for May was confirmed at just 1.3% y/y this morning, which together with the decline in market based indicators for inflation expectations will also keep easing speculation alive as stock markets remain weighed down by geopolitical trade jitters.

    * Oil prices continued to decline, with trade jitters continuing to weigh on sentiment and the WTI future is currently trading at USD 51.43 per barrel, up from yesterdays lows, following the EIA inventory data which showed a 2.2 mln bbl rise in crude stocks.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * WTI crude fell at $50.70 following the EIA inventory data which showed a 2.2 mln bbl rise in crude stocks. The street had been expecting a 0.5 mln bbl decrease, though the API revealed a 4.9 mln bbl build after the close on Tuesday. Overall, a fairly bearish report, which added further pressure on the USOIL downtrend. In the near-term the outlook remains bearish as well, while only a break above 52.80 could suggest a short term reversal to the upside.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * SNB Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference (CHF, GMT 07:30) The SNB is not expected to surprise markets as the Swiss rate is forecast to remain at -0.75%. However, the recent strengthening of the Swiss franc will have rekindled SNB concerns of its disinflationary impact.

    * Unemployment Claims (USD, GMT 12:30) Initial jobless claims for the week of June 7 are estimated to fall to 217k, after holding at 218k in the week of June 1.

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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  4. #83
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 14th June 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 14th June 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Tense geopolitical events in the Mid East injected some risk in the market, providing a boost to bonds after reports surfaced overnight that two oil tanker were damaged off the coast of Iran.

    * Stock markets traded mixed in Asia with Hong Kong and China bourses under-performing.

    * Australian yields marked new record lows amid concern that geopolitical trade tensions will hit global growth and prompt central banks to step up easing measures.

    * The FTSE 100 future is posting fractional gains as Brexit supporter Boris Johnson emerges as the clear favorite to win the leadership contest in the conservative party and succeed Teresa May.

    * Investors await data releases that are expected to show ongoing weakness in the economy.

    * The WTI future is at USD 52.16 per barrel after yesterdays attacks.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * EURUSD headed to 1-week lows of 1.1269 at mid-morning, and it is now traded higher at 1.1277 area. Trade this week has been centered on the 1.1300 mark, and further consolidation is expected ahead of next weeks FOMC policy announcement. There is not much of a chance for a rate move next week, but the FOMC is expected to make an important change in its statement, removing the word patient and likely replacing it with language similar to Powells comment from June 4 where he said the Fed will be closely monitoring the implications of these developments on trade and other matters. Until then, EURUSD can be expected to remain between its 50-day moving average at 1.1219, and its 200-day moving average at 1.1363.

    * USDJPY has been rangebound,topping at 108.53 before later ebbing back to 108.23 lows. Treasury yields however, continue under pressure following benign CPI on Wednesday, and soft import prices early on Thursday, putting some pressure on the Dollar. As a result, USDJPY has been nearly static. Further consolidation is expected into next Weeks Fed policy announcement.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * Retail Sales and Industrial Production (USD, GMT 12:30) Retail Sales are expected to have grown by 0.6% for May and 0.3% for ex-auto sales, following a -0.2% figure for the April headline and a 0.1% increase in ex-autos. Industrial production is projected at 0.6% in May, after a -0.5% reading in April.

    * Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (USD, GMT 14:00) The preliminary result of the Sentiment Index is expected to show a return to Aprils number below 100, and more specifically to 98.

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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