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Mauzo: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

  1. #101
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 10th July 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th July 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Markets take a defensive stance ahead of Powells testimony to Congress and the release of the minutes from the last Fed meeting.

    * Speaking overnight Atlanta Fed President Bostic said the central bank is debating the risks and benefits of letting the economy run a little hotter and while most are still expecting a 25 bp insurance cut this month, there are fears that Powell may close the door to rate cut hopes.

    * GER30 and UK100 futures are narrowly mixed and US futures slightly in the red, after a mixed session in Asia overnight.

    * KOSPI and KOSDAQ recovered as Japan and South Korea said they are planning talks on the trade tensions. Japans new export restrictions on materials vital to South Koreas tech industry, and hopes of thawing relations helped KOSDAQ to gain 1.6%, elsewhere moves were pretty muted.

    * Eurozone peripheral markets are outperforming, but yields are also up across Italy, Spain and Portugal.

    * Trade risks, US-Iran tensions and in Europe the risk of a no-deal Brexit scenario keep markets looking to central banks for support.

    * The WTI future meanwhile surged to $58.76 per barrel, after US data showed another drop in stock piles, which dampened concerns about oversupply.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * EURGBP has forayed above 0.9000 for the first time since early January while Cable has descended into 27-month low territory. EURGBP has now made this the 8th week out of the last nine where a new higher high has been set. The Pound has been trading with a 10-15% trade-weighted Brexit discount since the vote to leave the EU in June 2016.

    * USDJPY was stopped in its tracks at 6-week highs of 108.96, the level coinciding with the 50-day Moving Average. Profit taking ensued, which took the pairing to 108.76 lows in early NY and Asia session. In addition to the noted technical resistance, Japanese exporter offers are reportedly parked from the 109.00 level, which should help cap gains going forward.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * Gross Domestic Product, Manufacturing & Industrial Production (GBP, GMT 08:30) The GDP is the economys most important figure. Mays GDP is expected to be lower at -0.7% m/m following the -0.4% reading from last month. Meanwhile, Industrial and Manufacturing Production will be out as well. These two indices are expected to have increased, with industrial output providing an upwards contribution of 1.5% m/m in February, while manufacturing is projected to have risen to 2.3% from its -3.9% last month.

    * Event of the week Interest rate Decision and Conference (CAD, GMT 14:00) Last time, Bank of Canada held the policy rate setting steady at 1.75%, matching widespread expectations, while the statement was largely optimistic in terms of the growth outlook. The expectations remain for no change of the policy outlook from the BoC through year-end, with the next move expected to be a modest rate hike in late 2020.

    * FOMC Meeting Minutes (USD, GMT 18:00) -The FOMC Minutes report provides the FOMC Members opinions regarding the US economic outlook and any views regarding future rate hikes. In the last FOMC statement, on June 19, FOMC left rates unchanged but the statement, which removed the word patient, along with the inflation outlook, the dot-plot, and Bullards dissent in favor of easing, made for a dovish stance.

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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  3. #102
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 11th July 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th July 2019.




    FX News Today

    * FOMC minutes of the June meeting were a little anti-climactic following Fed Chair Powells testimony. However, there were many indications that an easier policy stance was the more desired outcome.

    * 10-year Treasury yields dropped -2.3 bp to 2.039% overnight, and reopened soft, stopped at 2.064% tailing out from 2.057%.

    * US stocks rise, yields drop, Powells testimony supported rate cut expectations.

    * The S&P 500 briefly topped the 3000 mark for the first time, but the index didnt manage to hold these levels as stocks generally came off highs.

    * USD lower as Powell signals July FOMC rate cut.

    * The WTI future is trading at $60.57 per barrel, amid reports that Iranian boats attempted to impede the passage of a British tanker.showed another drop in stock piles, which dampened concerns about oversupply.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * FX Update: The USD posted fresh lows during the pre-Europe session in Asia as markets continued to readjust Fed easing expectations in the wake of Chairman Powells testimony yesterday, which was consistent with a 25 bp rate cut at the end of this month with an addendum stipulating that the Fed has the tools needed and could use them aggressively if necessary. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) has declined by about 0.6% over the last day, earlier printing a six-day low at 96.90, while EURUSD rose to a six-day high at 1.1280 and USDJPY posted a six-day low at 107.86. The US currency saw a similar magnitude of decline against other currencies. In the mix has been an unexpected upward revision to June German HICP, to 1.5% y/y from 1.3% y/y, while news that Iran tried to intercept a British tanker in the Strait of Hormuz (London claiming that its navel ship HMS Montrose saw off three Iranian vessels with verbal warnings) saw front-month WTI crude prices spike above $60.0, the first time above this level since late May.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 06:00) The German HICP inflation is expected to hold at 1.3% y/y for June.

    * Consumer Price Index and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) Mays CPI has been estimated at a -0.1% drop for headline PPI in June, and a 0.2% rise in the core index. As expected readings would result in a y/y gain of 1.4% for headline PPI, slowing from a 1.8% pace in May, and a 2.1% y/y rise for the core, versus 2.3% in May.

    * Fed Chair Powell Testimony 2nd day (USD, GMT 14:00)

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #103
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 12th July 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th July 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Treasuries recovered during the Asian session after better than expected data and a weak auction put pressure on bonds yesterday.

    * Bonds across Asia were under pressure though and JGB yields moved up 2.6 bp to -0.121%, while Australias 10-year yield jumped 12.0 bp to 1.450%.The RBA already cut rates to record lows and comments from the central bank governor yesterday didnt sound as though the bank was readying further easing at the moment, which.

    * Stock markets were cautious ahead of trade and lending data out of China today, which are expected to set the tone for GDP numbers out on Monday.

    * With Powells testimony out of the way the focus is shifting back to the impact of trade tensions and after Singapore reported the weakest GDP growth number in a decade investors are holding back before taking fresh positions especially after a tweet by US President Trump saying China was not living up to promises made on buying agricultural products from the US.

    * Indices swung between gains and losses overnight and Topix and Nikkei are currently down -0.19% and up 0.15% respectively.

    * European stock futures are moving higher in tandem with US futures.

    .* The WTI future is trading at $60.67 per barrel, amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * EURUSD spiked to 1.1274 in Asia session after knocking lower following the warmer US CPI outcome. Looking ahead, the Dollar is likely to remain in sell-the-rally mode ahead of the July FOMC meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is widely expected. EURUSD support is now at the 50-day Moving Average at 1.1240, with resistance at 1.1287-95, the July 5 and July 4 highs.

    * USDCAD drifted lower to 1.3023 area as WTI future is rading at USD 60.58 per barrel, amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Next Support stands at 1.2970-1.2990.

    Main Macro Events Today

    * Producer Price Index (USD, GMT 12:30) The Headline PPI is expected to hold at 0.1% in June, and at 0.2% in the core index. These readings would keep in a y/y gain of 1.4% for headline PPI. We see y/y headline readings in a 1.3%-1.9% range over coming months, while core prices should be in a 2.1%-2.5% range.

    * Fed Chair Powell Testimony 2nd day (USD, GMT 14:00)

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #104
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 15th July 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th June 2019.




    * Trade warring and slowing global growth have set the scene for a possible earnings recession, which could catalyze a risk-off phase in global markets. Therefore next weeks inflation data out of some of the major economies, Australias employment report and Chinas 2Q19 GDP report could be the highlights in the coming week. Another focus is the upcoming Q2 corporate earnings season, which will get into gear next week with show and tells from the banking sector.

    Monday 15 July 2019

    * China Gross Domestic Product (CNY, GMT 02:00)- Chinese GDP is projected to see additional moderation to a 6.2% y/y pace in Q2, from the 6.4% y/y growth rate in Q1. The economy has grown at a 6.2% pace so far in 2019, while it was at a 6.6% pace for all of 2018, leaving the slowest growth rate since the 3.9% clip in 1990. It grew 6.8% in 2017.

    * Consumer Price Index (NZD, GMT 22:45) New Zealand inflation is expected to rise by 1.7% y/y in Q2, edging higher than the 1.5% observed in Q1.

    Tuesday 16 July 2019

    * Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (AUD, GMT 01:30) The RBA has already cut rates to record lows and comments from the central bank governor yesterday didnt sound as though the bank was readying further easing at the moment. Minutes are expected to shed further light regarding future easing stance.

    * Average Earnings (GBP, GMT 08:30) Average Earnings excluding bonus for May expected to slightly increase at 3.2% from 3.1% last month.

    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 09:00) Economic Sentiment for July is expected to be released at -19.0 compared to -21.1 last month.

    * Retail Sales and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) 0.2% June retail sales gains are expected for both with and without autos, following 0.5% May gains for both measures. Unit vehicle sales ticked down to a 17.3 mln pace in June from an upwardly-revised 17.4 mln clip in May, and gasoline prices should provide a drag on retail activity given an estimated -3.5% figure for the CPI for gasoline. Real consumer spending is expected to grow at a 3.9% rate in Q2, following the 0.9% Q1 clip.

    Wednesday 17 July 2019

    * Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 08:30) May CPI came in on the nose at 2.0% y/y, ebbing from 2.1% y/y in April and marking a return to the upper bound of the BoEs target. Next weeks reading for June is expected to remain unchanged. The same stands for core CPI.

    * Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 09:00) The Euro Area CPI for June is expected to hold steady at 0.3% m/m, with the headline inflation at 1.2% y/y unchanged from the previous month. Still, as the weakness in manufacturing is now starting to reach the labour market, this means the prospect that underlying inflation pressures will build up soon look slim. This will keep the ECB on course for additional easing measures, unless there are major breakthroughs on the US-Sino trade and the Brexit front.

    * Consumer Price Index and Core (CAD, GMT 12:30) CPI is expected to decline at a 2.1% y/y pace in June.

    * Housing Data (USD, GMT 12:30) Housing starts should slow to a 1.260 mln pace in June, after a dip to 1.269 mln in May. Permits are expected to improve to 1.300 mln in June, after rising to 1.299 mln in May. Overall, we see a stronger trajectory for starts with a positive but slower pace for permits, as starts play catch-up with the higher permits trajectory.

    Thursday 18 July 2019

    * Employment Data (AUD, GMT 00:30) Australian labour market data is expected to deteriorate, as the employment is anticipated at 10K from 42.3K in May.

    Friday 19 July 2019

    * Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (USD, GMT 14:00) The main US consumer confidence index is expected to ease to 93.0 in March, compared to 93.8 in February.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.


    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #105
    HFblogNews's Avatar Senior Member
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    May 2017
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    Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

    Date : 16th July 2019.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th July 2019.




    FX News Today

    * Treasury yields steadied during the Asian session, with bonds erasing overnight gains and the 10-year yield now up 0.3 bp at 2.092%. JGB yields also backed up from lows and are down -0.1 bp at -0.129%, after returning from holiday, while yields declined in Australia and New Zealand after the minutes of the last RBA meeting showed the bank remains ready to adjust policy if needed.

    * Stock markets meanwhile struggled in very light volumes as markets hold back ahead of key US data and earnings reports this week.

    * On trade talks US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and Trade-Representative Lighthizer may travel to Beijing if talks by phone this week are productive.

    * The WTI future is trading below $60 per barrel and U.S. futures are posting marginal gains.

    * In Europe, the GER30 future is currently slightly higher as are US futures, which UK100 futures are in the red, amid ongoing Brexit jitters as Boris Johnson, poised to succeed as PM next week, puts no-deal options firmly back on the table.

    * Last weeks round of Brexit negotiators was reportedly one of the most difficult encounters of the last 3 years.

    * Meanwhile JP Morgan, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Taiwan Semiconductor are among the companies reporting results this weeks.

    Charts of the Day



    Technicians Corner

    * EURUSD has been held between its 20-day Moving Average of 1.1295 and its 50-day Moving Average at 1.1242 since Friday. A 25 basis point Fed rate cut at the end of the month has been priced into EURUSD, and focus now may shift to the ECB, where further stimulus could be in the cards at its next meeting on July 25, keeping EURUSD capped for the time being.

    * USDJPY broke earlier today its 20-day Moving Average at 107.95, after printing 8-session high from 107.80 during the overnight Asian session. The mixed risk backdrop has limited the pairings gains since last week, as Wall Street trades on either side of flat, and Treasury yields remain pressured. The July 5 low of 107.76 remains a floor for the asset, while next Resistance stands at 108.20 and 108.50

    Main Macro Events Today

    * Average Earnings (GBP, GMT 08:30) Average Earnings excluding bonus for May expected to slightly increase at 3.2% from 3.1% last month.

    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 09:00) Economic Sentiment for July is expected to be released at -19.0 compared to -21.1 last month.

    * Retail Sales and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) 0.2% June retail sales gains are expected for both with and without autos, following 0.5% May gains for both measures. Unit vehicle sales ticked down to a 17.3 mln pace in June from an upwardly-revised 17.4 mln clip in May, and gasoline prices should provide a drag on retail activity given an estimated -3.5% figure for the CPI for gasoline. Real consumer spending is expected to grow at a 3.9% rate in Q2, following the 0.9% Q1 clip.

    Support and Resistance levels



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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