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Mauzo: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

  1. #21
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Aaj ek khamosh din hai kiyunkeh Ameriza me chutti thi, lehaza options se mutaliq koi naya aidad o shumal nahin hoga aur ham Jumah wale data ka istemal kar sakte hai. Lehaza kal ki kami ke dauran pound ne raftar kho di. Wahid hadaf 2010 par ho sakta hai jahan tazah tarin put option rakha gaya tha aur is satah par open interest me kami aayi thi. Yah nichan hadd ki haisiyat se kam kar sakta hai aur ise todna mushkil hoga.
    Jahan tak level indicators ki baat hai, din ka tawazun 20173 par hai. Kal maine 2074 ki satah ka tazkera kiya tha aur is satah se niche tootna ek aham qadam hai jo aaj tak takhir ka shikar tha. Iske alawa, kal kharidaron ko stop loss ko hata dena chahiye thya.
    Din ka low 2006 par hai aur ooper lazmi zone hai jo keh din ke high ki wazahat karta hai. Lehaza mujhe lagta hai keh 2127 ki satah par order place karna behtar hai jahan kal din ka tawazun pahuncha tha.
    Maine apne take profit order ko is satah par muntaqil kar diya.



    Mere indicators bilkul tabdil ho chuke hain aur aaj din ka low accumulation zone par focus ke sath 22th figure me 1957 par hai. Aur yahan hamare pas nichle ilaqe ke sath 2089 (abhi ke liye, bad me iske gairne ka imkan hai) ki satah aur oopri ilaqe me 2151 par pahli hadd hai. Mera yaqin hai keh yah deals ko shuru karne ke liye buniyadi satah hai aur mein yahan qimat dekhna chahta hun.


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  4. #22
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Aaj budh hai, ek aham din hai kiyunkeh mein SVS Trend Indicator ka intezar kar raha hun. Aaj yah khas taur par mutalqa hai: tawazun sabse nichli hadd par hai aur bad me tez izafa mumkena taur par 24th figure tak pahunch sakta hai. Phir bhi, kuch tafsilat hai. Sabse pahle, deal 2107 par oopri yaumiyah hadd se ooper khula tha jo izafe ka ishara kar sakta hai. Lehaza, 100 pips se piche hatna koi option nahin hai. Maujudah liquidity ratio 2172 ki satah par hai jiska matlab hai keh qimat is satah par ja sakti hai aur tezi ke rujhan ko qayam kiya jayega. Is tarah yahan koi lazmi zone nahin hai, ham ya to reverse trend ya kal ke rujhan me tezi ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Levels indicators ke bare me bas itna hi.



    Chunkeh abhi bhi options par koi data nahin hai, aaiye indicators ke bare me bat karte hain. Mein 20149 aur 2056 par, jodi ki wapsi ke liye pahle se hi do satah dekh sakta hun. Filhal, ham accumulation zone ki oopri hadd par ruk gaye hain. Lehaza, 2056 ki satah par ya to high ko hit karna ya low ka test karna aur dubara se ooper ki taraf jana muntaqi hai. Warna, qimat sabse nichli hadd ko hit kar sakti hai aur fir se 19th figure me rah sakti hai. Isliye maine kuch short deals shuru kiye hain kiyunkeh qimat kahin bhi ja sakti hai. Oopri hadd 2178 hai aur nichli hadd 1928 hai, lehaza qimat ke in satahon tak pahunchne ke bad mein apne trade ke volume me izafa karunga.


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  6. #23
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    Euro badhna jari rakh sakta hai, lekin option ke yaumiyah channel ka top 1045 par hai. Aur mujhe qimat zyada hone ki tawaqqo nahin hai. Agarcheh ham jate hain to, ab bhi ham kal ki tarah taqriban 50 points pass kar sakte hain.
    Din ka balance 0970 hai. Lazmi zone thoda zyada (0992-0999) hai jahan hamein wapas aana chjahiye.
    Rujhan ki tabdili ki satah 0924 par hai jo bulls ki taqat ki nishandahi karta hai.



    Mere indices usi satah ko dikhate hain. Mai sirf yah add kar sakta hun keh 0979 par debt hai aur accumulation area jise hamein hasil karne ki zarurat hai woh 0982-1015 hai. Agar ham naye high par nahin pahunchte hain aur 1070 ya usse thoda zyada ho jate hain to, mai wahan buy deals open karunga.


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  8. #24
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Mai aap ko sirf abhi satahon ke bare me bata sakta hun kiyunkeh pouns ne kal apne rujhan ko short-term bullish trend me tabdil kar diya.
    Maujudah liquidity ratio level (bulls se supported) ka ausat 1956 hai. Sirf is satah se niche bulls zamin hasil kar sakta hai. Yaumiyah option channel ki nichli hadd 2001 par hai aur abhi iski ummid bahut kam hai.
    Lazmi zone (2135-40) ke zariye supported yaumiyah tawazun 2150 par hai aur yah woh jagah hai jahan mai qimat dekhne ki ummid karta hun. Dusri taraf, yah sabse behtarin scenario nahin ho sakta hai kiyunkeh ek nayah pattern taiyar hone hi wala hai - Budh, Jumerat aur Jumah ka tawazun. Ummid karte hain keh iski tashkil Jumah tak mukammal nahin hogi. Phir ham ya to Ladder Top (balance ooper jata hai) ya Ladder Bttom (Jumerat ka maximum Jumah ko niche jata hai) dekh sakte hain. Waise bhi, hamein is pattern ka test karna chahiye.
    Lehaza, agar qimat aaj 2160 se 2260-70 par 100 pips ke aas pas flat rahti hai to, kal tez girawat ka bada imjan hai. Iske bad, qimat ya to ooper ki taraf ja sakti hai ya apne kow par wapas aa sakti hai. Budh ka din guzar gaya, aur shayad yah izafa tawil saude ke meqdar me izafe ki wajah se shuru hua hai.



    Jahan tak mere indices ki bat hai, woh din ke high 2351 tak pahunch gaye hain - maximum high jahan qimat ja sakti hai. Yah batana zaruri hai keh 2106 tak pahunchne ke bad se qimat lazmi zone me nahin gayi hai. Yahan hamre pas ek deal open hai aur ab zone ki oopri hadd 2187 par hai. Main tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat is satah ka test karegi aur dekhegi keh kya woh ise ooper payega ya tahar payega. Zone ki nichli hadd 2115 par hai.


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  10. #25
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Jumah ka din mushkil ho sakta hai, to aaiye dekhte han keh yah hamare liye aaj kya lekar aata hai.
    Level indicators ki bat karen to, aaj din ka balance 2305 ki satah par hai aur is satah tak pahunchne ka bahut zyada imkan hai. Niche diye gaye chart par, ham balance ladder dekh sakte hain. Iska matlab yah hai keh mazid uptrend ke liye qimat ko kal ke low 2170 tak niche jane ki zarurat hai. Halankeh, iske raste me 2230-2200 par flat ke sath ek lazmi zone hai. Din ka low 2107 ki satah par bhi accha lagta hai, jahan maine kuch saude khule choren hain.



    Jahan tak options ki baat hai, behtar hoga keh ham October ke liye options contract par gaur karen. Yah 1.25-1.19 par trading range ke sth kal se shuru hone wala aham contract hai.



    Aaj, mere indices 2428-2168 ki range me hain, aur 2299 par oopri hadd ke sath accumulation zone me qimat ko observe karna aham hai.
    Low 2174 par hai, lehaza mai in dono hadon ke darmiyan qimat dekhne ki tawaqqo karta hun.



    Lehaza mai aap sab ko good luck wish karta hun!

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  12. #26
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    Assalam Alaikum.

    Jahan tal pound ki bat hai to, din ka tawazun 2247 hai. Aur maujudah satah se is tak ka ilaqa lazmi ilaqa hai. Lehaza, 30 pips niche jane aur phir high par lautne, ya Jumah ke scenario ko duhrane ka mauqa hai.
    Mere indices bhi usi ki nishandahi karte hain, kiyunkeh ham accumulation area me hain. Iska oopri satah 2300 hai, jabkeh nichli satah 2240 hai.
    Jab ham balance par aayenge to, mai shayad apne sell deals ke hisse ko band kar dunga.


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  14. #27
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    Girawat ko jari rakhne ke liye, hamein kharidaron ke stop orders ko hatane ki zarurat hai jo keh 1.2310 par hain, lekin ab aunhen 1.2330 tak uthaya ja raha hai. Mujhe nahin malum keh stop order wahan fix kiye jayenge ya nahin. Mujhe lagta hai keh 1.2240 tak islah ke liye pound ko modne ke liye 1.2330 to ko todna kafi hoga.
    1.2240 se, mai 1.2450 tak ke izafe ya breaout ki tawaqqo karta hun, fir 1.2085 tak ke pullback ke bad, qimat girawat me kamyab ho payegi.



    Lekin mai ab bhi tawaqqo karta hun keh pound 1.2450 par jayega aur is ka test karega, shayad ise tod bhi de aur thoda ooper jaye, lekin 1.2510 se ooper nahin, jiske bad par islah shuru hoga.
    Waise, 1.2240 par stop order ko 1.2265 tak khincha jana chahiye. Aisa karne ke liye, qimat 1.2385 se guzar kar 1.2410 tak pahunchni chahiye. Is surat me, ham 1.2450 ko hasil karne aur ise todne me kamyab honge, 1.2510 aur 1.2570 ke naye ahdaf ko tai karenge.

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  16. #28
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Budh - hafte ka aham karobari din, lehaza ham SvS indicator ko dekhne aur qimat se balance level ka taest karne ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Yah qimat me izafe ke acche imkanat ki nishandahi kar sakti hai.
    Phir bhi, gaur karne ke liye kuch chizen hain: musalsal dusre din balance us qimat se zyada hai jo resistance point ban sakta hai. Dusri bat keh, koi lazmi zone nahin hai jo reverse tend ka ishara de sake (kiyunkeh ooper ki taraf badhne ke liye kuch bhi nahin hai). Aur aakhir me, yah deal yaumiyah option boundary ke niche 2350 par khula tha, jiski wajah se qimat me kami ho sakti hai. Yah subah ke liye suratehal hai.



    Aur ab indices ke bare me.
    Niche diye gaye chart par, ham dekh sakte hain ke rujhan reverse ho rahi hai. Accumulation zone ne expand karna band diya aur traders aksar isko visit karte rahe. Iska matlab yah ho sakta hai keh woh active taur par short deals khol rahe hain. Halankeh, qimat kal ki range
    2383-2311 ki hadud me rahti hai.
    2346 accumulation zone ki oopri hadd hai jahan ham short deals khol sakte hain. Agar qimat satah se ooper jati hai to, ham long deals ko kholne ki koshish kar sakte hain, halankeh levels indicator mukhalif taswir dikhate hain. 2326 ki satah se niche ham farokht karna shuru kar sakte hain aur qimat 22th figure par wapas jane ki ummid kar sakte hain.


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  18. #29
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Mujhe ummid hai keh yah behtar hoga. Mai kal ke pound ke badhte hue rujhan ko jari rakhna chahta hun, halankeh, yah abhi bhi intezar kar sakta hai. Ek taraf, ham lazmi zone aur maujudah liquidity tanasub ki satah ke darmiyan stahon ke pattern ko dekh sakte hain. Qimat ko ab bhi in satahon ka test karne ki zarurat hai kiyunkeh saude lazmi zone me khule tha. Lekin 2-=30 pips ka izafa intehai tasalli baksh nahin hoga. Isi wajah se mai din ke sab se nichli hadd par 2306 aur 2290 ki satah tak pahunchne ke liye qimat ka intezar kar raha hun. Mai ise abhi ke liye sabse zyada izafa ke taur par dekhta hun.



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  21. #30
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Aaj karobari hafte ka aakhri din, Jumah 13 September hai. Ham kuch bhi tawaqqo kar sakte hain kiyunkeh pound mila jula trade kar raha hai. Jahan tak level indicators ki baat hai, suratehal ko duhraya gaya hai: bulls ne short-term deals ki muzahmat ki hai lekin qimat bahi bhi 2306 ki satah par hai. Us nishan se pahle, balance indicator muqarrar kiya gaya tha jo support level ban gaya hai. Din ka low 2235 par hai aur yah mera aakhri hadaf hai lekin aaj is tak pahunchne ka imkan nahin hai. Qimat 2335-22 par pahle se hi lazmi zome me hai lehaza pattern lazmi zone me ya 2306 par up dikha sakta hai. Phir, qimat ya to mere hadaf par ya hafte ki buland satah par ja sakti hai.



    Dono yaumiyah hadon ke hit hone par kal ke active trade ke bad indices kafi acche lag rahe hain. Aakhir me, mandi ka rujahn ghalib hua. Kam az kam, qimat 2339-31 par accumulation zone se guzri jo ab izafe me rukawat ke taur oar kam karti hai. Nichli hadd 2298 par hai aur 2306 ki satah par qimat ise cross kar sakti hai. Din ka high 2365 par hai. Ham baqi din ke liye is hadd me rah sakte hain.



    Kal, maine apne short deals band kar diye aur bad me kuch deals khole. Lehaza mejhe surprise karna mushkil hoga.

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