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Mauzo: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

  1. #71
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron. Hmesha ki tarah, pound ki naql o harkat ke liye do scenarios hain.
    Ek taraf, din ek gap ke sath khola gaya tha aur ise band kiya jana chahiye (iske alawa, hamein pichle hafte ke gap ke bare me yaad rakhna chahiye jise bhi band kiya jana chahiye). Fir qimat mazid badhne ki ummid hai.
    Dusri taraf, hamein Jumah tak islah karni hogi. Aam taur par, dono scenario durust hain.
    Ab aaiye satahon par gaur karen.
    Aaj, koi lazmi zone nahin hai, jiska matlab hai keh Jumah ke movement ka reversal ya acceleration mumkin hai. Lehaza, hamein dono ikhteyarat ke liye taiyar rahna hoga.
    2944 par din ka tawazun meqnatis ke taur par kam karta hai, aur is bat ko madde nazar rakhte hue keh debt baqi hai, mai yaqini taur par 2950 par farokht karunga.
    Nichli satah din ke option border ke zariye mahdud hai, lehaza hamein 2895 tak pahunchne ki zarurat hai. Halankeh, ham shayad hi ise todenge.



    2895 ka tawazun abhi tak hasil nahin kiya gaya hai, halankeh, waqt aa chuka hai, kiyunkeh bears ne 2920-30 par dawab dala hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 2884 tak ja sakti hai, phir bottom par 2874 ke pahle hadaf tak pahunch sakti hai ya 2947 ki taraf badh sakti hai.



    Note. Is post ko taiyar karte waqt, hadaf pahle hi hasil kar liya gaya hai. Lehaza, maine ek sell deal open kiya.
    Aaj ke liye baqi hadaf 2976 ya din ki balayi hadd 2999 par hai.

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  3. #72
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    Re: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

    ham 1-ghante kee samay avadhi ke lie aiur / usd chaart par vichaar kar rahe hain, haalaanki yah pahale se hee shaam hai aur itane saare tred nahin hain, kyonki dopahar mein mukhy tred the. keemat aiur / usd ke lie kaaphee badh gaee hai aur abhee bhee isakee ooparee seema 1090 ke aasapaas hai, jo aaj kee sabase adhik keemat thee, chainal ke aage badhane ke baad isamen sudhaar hua. aasha. pahala pratirodh 1090 ke aasapaas, doosara 1120 ke aasapaas hone kee ummeed hai. 1155 par samarthan.
    dhyaan dene ke lie aap sabhee ka dhanyavaad. [IMG][/IMG]

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  5. #73
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Pound sterlin choppy manner me karobar kar raha hai,halankeh trading volume chota hai. Jahan tak options trading ki baat hai, koi surag fraham karne ke liye koi naye options contracts nahin hai. Aaj mai aapko server ki pareshaniyon ki wajah se aap ki pasandidah TST satahon ke bare me nahin bata pa raha hun. Lehaza, mai aapko standard analysis ki tajwiz karta hun.
    Mai ittefaq karta hun keh GBP/USD ne khud ko ek dilchasp suratehal me paya jai. Mera matlab hai keh qimat ab bhi niche ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin waqt chadhai ke liye munasib hai. Mere takniki indicators aaj ke liye mundarja zail trading range ki nishandahi karte hain: 2883-2950. Sawal yah hai keh flat market khatm hone par qimat kis simt par amal karegi. Kal sham se, qimat 2915-32 ke accumulation area me wapas aa gayi. Aagar qimat balayi hadd ka test karne me kamyab ho jati hai to, yah upward trajectory ko follow karega. Aagar nichli hadd ka test kiya jata hai to, qimat 1.28 se ooper ke ilaqe me wapas aa jayegi. Mai dusre scenario par bet kar raha hun.

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    Ab options ke bare me kuch alfaz. Ek mah ke muhaide me parson 1.29 par trading volume me izafa dekha gaya tha. Halankeh, kal put options ka trade khamoshi se kiya gaya tha. Shayad, isi wajah se jodi ne gair mutawaqqe harkat ki. Put option ke liye price 2900 ke strike price aur call option ke 2800 ke darmiyan fansa hua tha. Sab se kam aaram dah qimat 1.27 hai. Is tarah, bulls qimat ko wahan pahunchne se rokne ke liye har mumkin koshish kar rahe hain. Yahi wajah hai keh qimat 2950-2830 ki range me fans gaya hai jo ab tak ke zyadatar market participants ke mutabiq hai.

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  7. #74
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    Maximum trading volume ka matlab zaruri nahin hai keh qimat apni simt ko badal degi. Agarcheh kal 1300 se zyada call option contracts ko 3,250 ki satah par rakha gaya tha. Pichle mahine, 1.3000 ki satah par 15 hazar open interest the, yahan tak tek euro se bhi zyada. Halankeh, mahina khatm ho chuka hai, lekin abhi bhi is satah ka test nahin hua hai. 1.3250 ki satah par is waqt 1,832 Open Interest positions dekhi gayi hai. Waise, 1.300 par 5,400 positions hain, jabkeh 1.2900 par 2,529. Lehaza, mai pahle in satahon par tawajjoh markuz karunga. Pahli border 2966 ki satah par hone ja rahi hai aur yah abhi tak bahut dur hai. Downward movement ke liye, qimat ko 2860 ki satah se niche jane ki zarurat hai jahan ek aur option border paya gaya hai. Lehaza trade kamyab hone ka waida karti hai.



    Aur yahan bataya gaya hai keh maujudah trade kaisa chal raha hai.
    Jaisa keh maine pahle kaha tha, support ki satah 2925 ki satah se bhi ooper paya jayega, lehaza yah woh muqam hai jahan mai apne order place kiye. Bulls active taur par 2912 ki satah par kharid rahe hain aur hold kiye hue hain, jabkeh bears 2920 ki satah par active the. Kal, 2930 par kharidaron ne apne positions kho diye. Agarcheh, mai put option rakhta pasand karta hun aur yah 2898 aur 2876 ki satah se shuru hoga agar qimat 2929 se niche jati hai.



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  9. #75
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.

    Teesre hafte ke liye gap ooper ki taraf raha hai, jiska matlab hai keh ab bhi badhne ka mauqa hai.

    Aaj, yaumiyah range 100 pips ho sakti hai, lekin yah zyada mahdud hai. Yaumiyah option channel ka bottom 2805 hai, din ka tawazun 2846 hai (abhi ke liye, yah bulls ke liye aham support ke taur par kam karta hai), aur lazmi zone 2885-99 hai (qimat iski taraf khinchi jayegi).



    Macroeconomic statistics bahut kamzor hai, lehaza Jumah tak ka islah bahut mutalqa malum hota hai. Top par markazi muzahmat 2863 hai, jahan mai apne kharidari ke saude ko fix karunga.


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  11. #76
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Guzishtah Jumah ko, euro/dollar ki jodi ne hamein is bat ka ishara diya tha keh is hafte kya tawaqqo ki jaye. Mai guzishtah Jumerat se short deals ko khula rakh raha hun, aur maine Jumah ko mazid saude khole hain. Jodi ko 80 pips se zyada ki islahi girawat ka samna karna pada jiska matlab hai keh is hafte ke aaghaz se hi sirf short positions mutalqa the. Pullback dekhe jane par, ise farokht karna behtar hota hai.



    Yaumiya timeframe wazeh taur par farokht karne ke liye accha hai, jabkeh H4 timeframe par pattern double bottom bana raha hai. Yah double bottom tab banaya gaya tha jab qimat ne pichle izafe ke bad apne islahi movement ko khatm kar diya tha. Asian session ke dauran tawwao karne ke liye zyada kuch nahin hai. Halankeh, is session me ham dekhenge keh Europe ke trade ke shuru hone par qimat me downward trend barqarar rahega ya nahin. Yah tashkil shudah double bottom pattern ke mazid harkiyat ki bhi nishandahi karega.

    Mai ab bhi apne saudon ko khula rakhta hun kiyunkeh mujhe lagta hai keh qimat maujudah low se niche 9th figure tak jane ka bahut zyada imkan hai. Abhi mai Asian session me qimat ki harkiyat dekh raha hun.


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  13. #77
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron. Pichla din dilchasp tha, jabkeh aaj, sideways trend ho sakta hai.
    Kal, bad ke session me, qimat 2884 ki satah par pahunch gayi aur fir 29th figure par laut gayi. Mai nahin janta keh iska kya matlab hai, kiyunkeh na to koi fixations tah aur na hi buy deals the.



    Satah ke mutabiq din ki shuruaat me, suratehal boring lagti hai.
    Mai ab bhi sell deals khol raha hun aur niche ki taraf movement ka intezar kar raha hun, khas taur par chunkeh hamare pas 29th figure ke wast me fixations aur sales ka accumulation hai. Halankeh, Jumerat ka din aksar sust karobari din hota hai. Iske alawa, kamyab trading din ke bad, nuqsanat se bachne ke liye break lena behtar hai. Iske alawa, kal ka fasla, 2889 ke tawazun aur lazmi zone ke darmiyan jagah ko 10 pips niche mazbut kiya gaya tha, aur aaj ham shayad hi unpar kam karenge.
    Mujhe lagta hai keh 2954 par din ki balayi option border European session ke dauran toot jayegi. Jahan tak American session ki baat hai, aaj ka din chutti ka din hai kiyunkeh woh Thanksgiving Day manate hain.
    Mai downward movement ki tawaqqo karta hun, lekin mujhe abhi tak nahin malum keh kab aur kaise.


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  15. #78
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.
    Aaj ka economic calendar United States America ki janib se mausul hone wali khabron se mahrum hai, kiyunkeh wo abhi bhi Thanksgiving Day mana rahe hain.
    Lehaza, aaj, ham Americiyon ke begair trading karenge.
    Kal, pound ko dawab me rakkha gaya tha aur niche jane ke liye majbur kiya gaya tha, halankeh traders ke darmiyan kharidar maujud the.
    Kharidaron ke accumulation area ki nichli hadd ko todna taqriban mumkin tha, lekin qimat sust ho gayi aur Europeans ne kuch bhi nahin kiya.
    Natijatan, balkeh zyada dilchasp taswir hai.
    Ab qimat ooper aur niche dono taraf ja sakti hai.

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    Is bat ki alamat hai keh qimat badhna band kar degi. Ab hamein confirmation hasil karne ki zarurat hai.
    Sab se pahle, kam karne ke liye, qimat ko ek naye nichli satah par aane aur 29th figure se niche jane ki zarurat hai.
    Is tarah, ham kharidaron ko hatane me kamyab honge aur munafe ka rasta khul jayega.
    Dusri bat keh, qimat ko maujudah satah par consolidate karne ya top par thoda pullback karne ki zarurat hai.
    Lekin agar qimat 2930 se ooper consolidate ho jati hai to, downtrend risk me hoga. Lehaza, hamein qimat ki mazid simt ko samajhne ke liye suratehal par nazar rakhne ki zarurat hai.
    Order book ke mutabiq, pound ke liye position ratio se pata chalta hai keh sellers shadid girawat me fans gaye hain.
    Woh aksariyat rakhte hain, aur behtar hoga keh market unhen ooper khinche, lekin 1.3000 se zyada nahin, agarcheh mujhe lagta hai keh woh ise zyada ooper khichne me kamyab nahin honge, kiyunkeh oopri option area ki shakal me rukawat hai. Iske lawa, yah sideways trend ka top hai.
    Aam taur par, ab bhi thoda ooper ki taraf movement karna mumkin hai, lekin bahut zyada nahin.
    Mujhe lagta hai keh akele Europeans is session ke dauran kuch bhi khas nahin kar sakte hain.
    Yahan tak ke khabron ke sath bhi.

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  17. #79
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    Indices yah bhi zahir karta hai keh high 2955 aur low 2868 par par hoga. Izafe ke liye koi rukawat nahin hai. Halankeh, qimat me kami ke liye ise 2912-2898 par accumulation zone se guzarna chahiye- ek mumkena hadd jahan qimat ruk sakti hai.

    Mai subah ke session tak intezar nahin karna chahta. Iske alawa, hamare pas pahle se hi levels indicators hain, aur trade 2912 ki satah par accumulation zone me khulne wali hai.
    Gaur karne ke liye do points hain:

    Ham koi lazmi zone nahin dekh rahe hai, jiska matlab hai keh qimat ya to reverse ho sakti hai ya Jumah se apna izafa jari takh sakti hai.
    Qimat nichle option ki hadd se niche khula. Iska matlab hai keh farokht yaumiyah tawazun se shuru hogi.
    Waise, ham 2957 par yaumiyah tawazun dekhte hain yah haqiqat me wo point ho sakta hai jahan qimat me izafa ruk jata hai. Lehaza, kuch waqt ke liye long positions par intezar karen aur dekhen keh mere maujudah short deals kis tarah kam karenge.


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  20. #80
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    Assalam Alaikum.

    Intraday grid shift ho chuka hai, aur aaj ke liye amli mansuba bandi taiyar karna mumkin hai.
    Pound/dollar pair.

    Is se pahle, maine likha tha keh din ke andar reversal ke koi asar nahin the. Sab se pahle, hamein ek pullback se nimatne ki zarurat hai, jo muntaqil shuda satah ke mutabiq, kal ke hadaf ke masawi hai.

    Yaumiyah pivit 2976 ki satah par chala gaya hai. Yah taqriban kal ka control level hai, jis se mujhe tawaqqo thi keh qimat me pullback hoga.

    Mujhe Asian session me is satah tak kami ki tawaqqo hai. Pound shayad hi ncihe jayega. Sab kuch pivot par jodi ke radde amal par munhasar karta hai.

    Agar darmiyani Bollinger Band line (correction/reversal level) ke zariye yaumiyah pivot ko niche se mazbut kiya jata hai to, yah high ke breakout ke maqsad se ek naye upward wave ke tamir ki buniyad ka kam karega.

    Agar pound balayi satah ko todta hai aur is satah se niche consolidate karta hai, to kal ka izafa 2945 ke pullback support satah me islah se offset hoga.

    Is waqt, koi sales nahin hai. Aaiye dekhte hain keh kya European session ke aaghaz se pound apni haisiyat barqarar rakh sakega ya nahin.

    Yaumiyah hadd: farokht ke ilaqe me - 2945/2926 ka support zone // kharidari ke ilaqe me- high aur 3057 ka control resistance level.



    Last edited by Forex Adviser; 12-04-2019 at 04:44 PM.

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