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Mauzo: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

  1. #1
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    Analytical forecast from trader with experience

    Analytical forecast from trader with experience

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    Mujhe lagta hai keh GBP/USD ke liye 1.2639 ki satah aham hai kiyunkeh yah accumulation zone ki nichli hadd ke sath coincides karti hai. Qimat subah tak us satah tak pahunch sakti hai. Yah jori puri rat flat trading kar rahi thi. 1.2619 ki satah accumulation zone ka bottom hai. Qimat us satah tak pahunch sakti hai jo 10 pips kam hai. Waise, upper daily border 1.2606 par dekha gaya hai. Agar qimat us tak pahunchne me nakam rahti hai to, yah 1.2561 ke intraday balance ke qarib aa sakta hai.

    Attachment 7788

    Mera khayal hai keh tamam currency pairs pure din ke liye sahaih tariqe se trade karne wali hai. Asal me, Peer ko hone wala trade aam taur par non-volatile hota hai. Hafte ke aaghaz me, aam taur par traders malumat ko digest karte hain aur market me thahraw aa jata hai. Mid-March, mid-December, mid-September, aur mid-June me kya hua, yah janne ke liye har koi chart par wapas dekh sakta hai. Dusre alfaz me, har tin mah me price moves ka tajziyah karna aur rujhanat ko check karna ek accha khayal hoga. Aam taur par Peer ko kya hota hai, qimat retracement ke bad high aur low ke liye driven hota hai. Phir qimat ka retest kiya jata hai aur mukhalif simt me push kar diya jata hai. Lehaza, ham jald hi buzz dekhne wale hain.

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    Assalam Alaikum.
    Asian session ke dauran is tarah ki mazbut sargarmi ko dekhe hue tawil arsa ho gaya hai. Shuruaati saudon me bade currency jodon ne aasman ko chu liya.
    Pound sterling ka overview.
    GBPUSD 26th figure ke pas din ko khatm karne me nakam rahi, lehaza 2583 par ek pending order hai. Range ki oopri hadd pahle hi toot chuki hai, lehaza mujhe uumid hai keh qimat 2657 par laut aayegi. Yah bahut accha hoga agar qimat lazmi zone me laut aaye, jabkeh rujhan ooper ki taraf reverse ho gayi hai. Uske liye, jode ko 2580 tak pahunchne ki zarurat hai. Darmiyani muddat ke hadaf ko tod diya gaya hai aur 2655 bulls ke liye dusre support ke taur par kam karta hai. Aisa lagta hai keh qimat 27th figure ki taraf badh raha hai.
    Mere indicators tezi ke rujhan ka ishara karte hai, aur supply zone 2615-2577 hai. Reversal ke bad, trading volume me izafe ki ek bhi koshish nahin ki gayi hai, lehaza yah jori 27th figure tak pahunchne ke bad momentum kho sakti hai aur retreat kar sakti hai.


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    H4 chart par EURUSD
    Hadaf ki satah 1.1400 par hai. Qimat taqriban us satah tak pahunch gayi hai, lekin C wave abhi tak mukammal nahin hui hai. Lehaza, sell deal kholna jaldbaji hoga. Yah maslas tang ho raha hai. Ekbar qimat ke 1.1463 ki satah (is satah par e wave c wave ke muqable me zyada lamba hoga) ko todne ke bad yah invalid ho sakta hai. Agar 1462 satah ko tod diya jata hai to, mein kuch mutabadil variants (khas taur par, sabz range ke bare me) ke bare me sochunga. Mujhe ummid hai keh is din ke ikhtetam tak (C) wave me 4 aur 5 lines mukammal ho jayegi.



    Daily chart. Sirf ek yad dihani ke taur par ek aam nuqtah nazar.



    H1 chart. Tafsilaat. 3 (C) ki wave taqriban mukammal ho chuki hai. Chauthe aur panchwen wave ke zariye MACD oscillator par dikhaye gaye mod ko khatm karna baqi hai.


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    Assalam Alaikum.
    Mujhe lagta hai keh yah dekhne ka waqt hai keh hamare tejarati alaat kahan ja rahe hain.
    Aaiye mujhe pond ke sath shuru karne den, yah zyada dilchasp hai.
    Mein iske kam hone ki tawaqqo karta hun, lekin yah abhi tak taiyar nahin hai.
    2645 ki support ki satah bears par bura mazaq kar sakta hai.
    Agar jori isse nahin guzarti hai to, growth ya sideways trade dubara se shuru hogi.
    Agar 2645 ka breakout hota hai to, qimat ke 2600 ya 2570 tak pahunchne ka imkan hai jo keh bilkul durust hoga.



    Is dauran, euro chart par ek qism ki parcham ban rahi hai.
    Mein pattern par trading nahin kar raha hun, lekin yah dekhne ke liye khususi maharat ki zarurat nahin hai keh qimat ooper aur niche donon taraf se mahdud hai. Is tarah, hamein koi bhi faisla karne se pahle jori ke is range se bahar nikalne ka intezar karna hoga.
    Mujhe bearish scenario ki ummid hai. Halankeh, agar qimat 1380 se zyada ho jati hai to, ise multawi kiya ja sakta hai.
    Liquidity bahut kam hai. Lekin ummid hai keh aaj suratehal badal jayegi.
    Speculators, sabar raken, aur munafabaksh trading karen!
    P.S. Oil niche ho raha hai. Aap log kya sochte ho? Kya aap farokht karne ke bare me soch rahe hain? Mere system se pata chalta hai keh futures par 58.6 ka breakout downside ke liye rasta kholta hai.


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    Assalam Alaikum.
    Yahan takniki satahon ke lehaz se GBP/USD ka mera options analysis hai. Khair, aaj qimat ooper ki taraf reverse hone ke liye paband hai. Tama suratehal uptrend ke haq me hai. Tin din pahle koi lazmi zone nahin tha jise rujhanat ko tabdil karne ki koshish ke taur par dekha jata hai. Aaj hamein maujudah liquidity index ke sath lazmi zone mila hai jo iske bahut qarib hai. Waise maujudah liquidity index pahle hi toot chuka hai. Agar qimat karobai din ke bad ke hisse me maujudah liquidity index se ooper aa jata hai to, index ko aane wale dinon me muntaqil karna hoga aur qimatt se niche rahna hoga. Dusre alfaz me, aisa lagta hai keh index qimat ko ooper ki taraf push kar dega. Yahan sabut hai. 1.07 ne maujudah liquidity index ko tod diya hai jo ooper ki taraf muntaqil ho gaya aur bad ke chand dinon me qimat ko niche push kar diya.



    1.1475 ki satah par pahunchna zaruri hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh aaj is satah ko ek impulsive candlestick ke zariye hit kiya ja sakta hai. Maine 1.2475 par kharid ki hadd muqarra ki. Aaj ke balance ki dusri satah 1.2453 hai jo long position ke liye ek acchi satah hai. Cash zone nami medium-term indicator ke lehaz se, ek kharid order bhi muntaqi hai. Put options khas taur par call options se kahin zyada hai. Tanasub 210 sell options ke muqable 870 buy options hai. Put options ke target level (1) ka testa kiya gaya hai. Liquidity me izafa hua hau jis ne mujhe put option (2) ki mansuba bandi karne ke qabil koya. Chaliye chalte hain!

    Ek buy position 1.12453 ki satah se mumkin hai. Put options ka oopri satah + cash zone ka ek chauthai ek sangin muzahmat ki satah banati hai. Natijatan, hamein 1.2453 tak impulsive candlestick aur fir lazmi zone aur maujudah liquidity index se ooper 1.2522 par ucchal mila. Agar qimat tasulsul ke begair niche chala jata hai to, hamein 1.2587 (4) ki ikhtetami satah par ehtiyat se trade karna chahiye kiyunkeh yah growth ke liye pahli rukawat hai. Kam az kam 1.2844 (5) par call options ke ikhtetami hadaf ki satah tak growth ko dekhna bahut accha hoga.

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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.

    Qimat me 20 pips ka izafa hua hai.
    Aaj, pichla din dohraye jane ka imkan hai.
    Kal, options ko is tarah se trade kiya gaya tha keh ab growth 2560-2596 tak mahdud hai aur imkan hai keh nichli satah kam az kam 2512 aur 2501 ka test karegi. Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh ham is range me din guzarenge.



    Mere trading system ke mutabiq, din ka top 2574 par hai, jabkeh bottom 2534 se accumulation ke ilaqe ke sath 2495 par hai. Lehaza, hamein double high banane aur 20th figure par lautne ki zarurat hai.


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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.
    Tasulsul ke bad, jori ko aam taur par durust kiya jata hai. Ise durust karne ki pahle koshish Asian session ke dauran ki gayi thi. Ab suratehal is tarah ki hai: accumulation area ki range 2494 se 2457 tak hai jahan naya debt hai. Lekin traders shayad hi ise abhi karenge. Yah 25th figures ke wast me chalne ke layak hai. Is ke alawa, kal ke high ko update ko karna mumkin hai, lekin 26th figure ke bare me bat karna jalbazi hogi.



    Dilchasp bat yah hai keh, options ke mutabiq, suratehal aaj boring hai. 2530 se nichle satah blocked hain. Matlubah oopri satah sirf 2560 hai. Ooper ka rasta 2590 tak mahdud hai. Lehaza, mein bade movement ki tawaqqo nahin karta hun.

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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.
    Aaj, euro-dollar ki jori par khususi tawajjoh di jayegi, kiyunkeh kuch aham khabren jari ki jayengi. ECB sud ki sherah par apne faisle ka ailan karega, aur ek ghante bad press conference hogi.
    Aam taur par, din dilchasp hone wala hai.



    Takniki nuqtah nazar se, filhal ham downward scenario ke mutabiq aage badh rahe hain.
    Aisa karne par, seller ke fixation ka pahla sign - 1.1140-1.1130 hai.
    Agarcheh mujhe shak hai k eh sirf itna hi nahin hai. Ek naye low par pahunchne ki tawaqqo hai.
    Mazid kya hai, mujhe ummid hai keh 1.1107 ki satah ko update kiya jayega, lekin mujhe nahin lagta hai keh ham zyada niche jayenge.
    Mein is girawat ko reversal manta hun, jis ke bad ham badhne lagenge.
    Zyada ooper jana mumkin hai, lekin hamein ek momentum ki zarurat hai. Kal, pahli koshoish ki gayi thi, lekin yah nakam ho gayi.
    Lehaza, haemin dusri koshish ka intezar karna chahiye. Khas taur par tab jab buniyadi khabron ki report isme sherakat karti hai.

    Pound ke liye, mein kharidari par gaur karta hun.
    Kal, ham scenario par mukammal taur par kam karne me kamyab rahe.
    Chunkeh maine farokht par band muaqid kiya, lehaza maine sirf market ki suratehal ko dekha.

    M30 par, uptrend ki tasdiq ki gayi thi. Maine pullback ke darmiyan kharidari ki. Ab yah larger time frames me rujhan ki tasdiq ke liye bana hua hai.
    Aisa karne ke liye, hamein 2560 se ooper jane ki zarurat hai. Aisi surat me, 2650 aur us se ooper ke ilaqe ka rasta khol diya jayega.
    Ooper ke rujhanat ke bawajud, ek aur collapse ka khatra bana hua hai. 2420 se niche girawat ki surat me, qimat 1-2 figure se niche ja sakti hai.
    Mein ek mutabadil ke taur par mazid girawat par gaur karta hun, lekin yah ikhteyar bhi mumkin hai.



    Oil ke liye, ham kal acchi tarah se niche gaye. Growth mumkena taur par mahdud hai aur farokht karna samajh aata hai.
    Kal, badi meqdar thi aur oil ki qimat 55.7 se ncihe gir gayi.
    Ab yah thik ho raha hai, lekin mujhe nahin lagta hai keh ise ooper jane diya jayega. Aaj, mein 56.3 se farokht karne ki imkanat ka tajziyah karta hun.



    Gold ke liye, suratehal wazeh nahin hai.
    Lehaza, mein har ek ke munafa baksh trading ki wish karta hun.

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    Assalam Alaikum.
    Euro aur pound ke liye, mein niche ki rujhan ki tawaqqo karta hun. Mein kal se pound ki positions hasil kar raha hun aur mujhe ummid hai keh ek naya high hit hoga. Iske bad pullback ke liye ooper ki taraf mudna mumkin hoga. Jumah islahat ka din hai. Lekin kisi chiz ko durust karne ke liye, kisi chiz ko farokht karne ya kharidne ke liye hamein pahle kisi tarah ki movement karni hogi.
    Pound ke liye, din 1.2450 par khola gaya tha. Yaumiyah range 78 pips hai. Izafe ki surat me, aaj ke liye yaumiyah range 1.2525 hai. Hadaf 1.2385 hai. Halankeh, reserve ke taur par taqriban 10 pints rakha jana chahiye. Lehaza mein aaj 1.2395 ka aim karta hun. Sabkuch kami ke liye confirmed hai. Qimat 1.2435 ke yaumiyah rotation ke nichle sarhad ke zariye toot gayi hai, is tarah niche ki taraf rasta khulta hai. Ho sakta hai keh din ke shuru hone se pahle ek pullback ho, lekin ab 1.2385 ka hadaf pound ko khud ki taraf mutawajjeh karega.
    Ise mansukh karne ke liye, hamein 1.12470 ke yaumiyah rotation ke oopri sarhad ko todne ki zarurat hai, phir hamein 1.2525 ki oopri yaumiyah range ki taraf rukh karna padega.



    Chart ke mutabiq, sab kuch bahut aasan hai. Jori nichli red line ke pas pahunch rahi hai. Mein screen par red lines ke test par roshni dali. Pahle, qimat nichli satah tak pahunch gayi, phir ooper wale par. Ham red lines ke sath chal rahe hain. Mujhe ummid hai keh ham 1.2430 par red lines hasil karenge. Lekin chunkeh yah yaumiyah range se bahut zyada hai, lehaza shayad hi aaj ham ise hasil karenge. Agle hafte, ham ise dubara farokht karenge. Aaj, mein nile range ke nichle line tak girawat aur fir rk girawat ki tawaqqo karta hun, jiske bad girte rahenge.


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