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Mauzo: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

  1. #51
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Aaj, pound ne qimat me niche gap ke sath session ka aaghaz kiya, fir gap ko band kar diya aur ab 20 pips ki range me flat karobar kar raha hai. Levels indicators pahle hi ban chuke hain aur jaisa keh ham dekh sakte hain woh qimat ke low tak pahunchne ke liye thoda ooper badh gaye hain. Iske bad satahon ke mazid ooper jane ka imkan hai.
    Qimat pahle hi lazmi zone aur maujudah liquidity tanasub ki satah ka test kar chuki hai. Reversal satah 2338 par hi bana hua hai aur lazmi zone 2324-18 par hai, jahan din ka tawazun 2422 ki satah par tashkil kiya gaya tha. Qimat in is satah ka test kiya hai lekin precise hone ke liye, mai hadaf 2338 par muqarrar karunga. Din ka option channel tang hona shuru ho gaya. Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh qimat ya to 2384 ke high ya 2251 ke low par ja sakti hai. Mai ooper ki taraf hadaf muqarrar karna pasand karta hun, jabkeh qimat ab bhi 23th figure me hai.

    Attachment 9348

    Mere indices levels indicators ke sath coincide karte hain jin se zahir hota hai keh price accumulation zone me hai. Lehaza, qimat 2330 se ooper yah 2315 se niche ja sakti hai aur yah mazid rujhan ki nichandahi karega. Din ka high aaj 2375 ki satah par hai aur muqami low 2285 par hai. Mai ise perfect trading range ke taur par dekhta hun.

    Attachment 9349

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  3. #52
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Aaj Budh hai aur yah bahut hi maaine rakhta hai: kuch hone wala hai, ya to breakthrough ya qimat me kami. Din ka balance 2224 (ek acchi satah) ki satah par hai aur aaj rat qimat ise hit karegi. Lehaza, ab mujhe yaqin nahin hai keh SvS ka pattern qimat me izafe ki nichandahi karne wala hai ya qimat pahle hi wahan hai.
    Lazmi zone niche chala gaya hai aur ab yah 2264-84 par hai jahan hamein gaur karna chahiye keh kharidna hai bechna hai. Din ka low 2125 par hai aur yah aaj dusri hadd ke taur par kam karta hai.
    Lehaza, aaj ka maujudah scenario din ke tawazun ke aas pass trading karna ya ooper ki taraf badhna hai.
    Dusra option niche ki taraf jana hai aur 21th figure par khule saude ko band karna hai.

    Attachment 9397

    Aalmi suratehal ne bhi mere indices ko mutasir kiya hai. Ek taraf, unhone upward trajectory li hai jis se yah zahir hota hai keh bulls abhi bhi zamin hasil kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, kal unhone nichle hadd ko par kar liya hai jahan ab long deals place karna ek accha khayal hai.
    24th figure tak qimat me izafe ke sath, hamne pichle hafte bhi isi suratehal ko dekha tha. Qimat aadhi niche ki taraf badh gayi aur kal nichli satah par pahunch gayi. Mere khayal se hamein 2299 ki satah par wapas jana chahiye aur wahan long deals kholna chahiye. Chahye bechna ho ya qimat tai karna aap par munhasar hai.

    Attachment 9398


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  5. #53
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Jahan tak mujhe lagta hai, chart par yah pattern muqami low par ek inverted hammer hai. Ummid hai keh yah sust hote downward trend aur pahle bearish move ki nishandahi karega. Jaisa keh hal me hi hua tha, is ne rujhan ka ishara kiya lehaza yah dekhna mumkin tha keh aage kya hua.

    Attachment 9419

    Satahon ke bare me bat karte hue, din ka balance 2206 tak kam ho chuka hai, lekin phir bhi support satah ke taur par kam karta hai. Lazmi zone me hadaf 2232-54 par muqarrar kiya gaya hai. Qimat ya to zone me flat trade kar sakti hai ya balance ki satah par wapas aa sakti hai, ya yah kal ke spike pattern ka test kar sakti hai. Yah spike ab growth ka buniyadi hadaf hai. Yah trend reversal aur option channel ki balayi hadd ke liye bhi ek nuqtah ho sakta hai. Mere liye 23th figure me dakhil hona wahan rahna aham hai.

    Attachment 9420

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  7. #54
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    Assalam Alaikum!
    Pound
    Qimat me taqriban 300 pips izafe ke bad, is tarah ka dusra qadam hi mumkin hai. Mai yaqiqan mazaq kar raha hun, lekin kon janta hai... khas taur par jab levels indicators is tarah ke turn ka mashwara dete hain. Jaisa keh koi lazmi zone nahin hai, reversal trend ka bahut zyada imkan hai (agarcheh hamne kal hi ise dekha tha). Ek aur scenario - rujhen ne momentum hasil kar liya, aur yah kal ke 250 pips ke spike ke bad hai!
    Jahan tak meri bat hai, mai teesre option ke liye jaunga aur 2444 (ek accha combination) par din ke balance ke ird-gird flat me trade karunga. Qimat ke sideways move karne ke liye yah ek acchi jagah hai. Din ka high 2573 par hai aur din ka low 2306 par hai jahan kal maine apne long deals place kiye. (Qimat ne option channel ko tod diya aur ab hamein is breakpoint par wapas aane ki zarurat hai).
    Waise, maujudah liquidity ratio (trend reversal ki satah) 2196 par hai, lehaza airf us point ke niche trajectory ki tabdili mumkin hai. Abhi ke liye, bulls is musbat note par sargarmi se trade kar sakte hain.



    Warna, pound kal aitedal se trade kar raha tha, aur bears ne stop loss order bhi rakha aur kuch point par fans gaya. Lehaza, mai tab tak intezar karunga jab tak bears fir se ground hasil na kar le.
    Mai 2370 ki satah tak pahunchne ke liye qimat ka intezar kar raha hun, apne sort deals ko fix karunga aur fir kharidunga.


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  9. #55
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.

    Satah ke mutabiq, bears ki tarjih hai. Yah maulum karna zaruri hai keh qimat 2641 par kis tarah se behave karti hai, jahan din ka balance waqe hai.
    Lazmi zone fir se zahir hua aur ab mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat is ilaqe tak pahunch jayegi, kiyunkeh bad me 2515 par din ki nichli hadd shamil hai. Hmaein iska test karna chahiye, lekin fir bulla ko follow karna chahiye. Agar woh qimat ko 25th figure ki taraf khinchne ke ahal hain to, naye high ko hit karne ka rasta khola ja sakta hai. Agar nahin to, qimat 100 pips tak kam ho jayegi aur 24th figure ki satah par settle ho jayegi.



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  11. #56
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.



    Budh ka din faisla kun din hai.
    Din ka tawazun bhi 3064 hai. Aur agar ham is par work out karte hain to, oopri satah par debt nahin hoga.
    Yaumiyah channel ka bottom 2772 hai aur yah haqiqat keh hamne dahane par khola hai, ise girawat ke ishare ke taur par samjha ja sakta hai.
    Iske alawa, hamare pas debt ke taur par 25th figure me kal ka lazmi zone hai.
    Lehaza, agar qimat ek bar fir se 28th figure tak pahunch jati hai to, ham 200 pips ooper badhne par pareshan na hone ke liye mai farokht kar dunga aur platform band kar dunga.


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  13. #57
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    Valen10n ka sabqa paigham
    Ikhteyarat par suratehal kafi ummid afza nazar aati hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh call options ke kharidar bahut purjosh the aur 28th figure se ooper sare saudon ko band kar diya. Halankeh, price movement gair mutawaqqe bani hui hai. Qimat badhne ke liye, ise hadon ko todne ki zarurat hai aur wahid ummid afza satah 2980 hai. Is ke niche ek accha put option 2170 par khola gaya hai. Din ke dauran bane rahne ke liye 200 pips ki yah range qimat ke liye acchi sabit hogi.
    Lehaza, jaisa keh maine pahle kaha tha, yah woh jagah hai jahan qimat kal 2980 ke hadaf tak pahunch rahi thi jaisa keh maine mansuba banaya tha.

    Assalam Alaikum aur aap ke sazgar rajhan ki khawahan hain! Apni taraf se, ami aapko kuch surag dene ki koshish karunga keh suratehal kaise badal sakti hai. Mai ab apne levels indicators ko dekh raha hun aur fir se qimat ne sabse se nichli hadd par din ka aaghaz kiya. Ek bar fir, qimat ko ise todne ki zarurat hai. Aur zahir hai, yahan koi lazmi zone nahin hai.
    Aur yah ek bada ishara hai keh yah act karne ka waqt hai. Halankeh, sab kuch itna wazeh nahin hai. Din ke tawazun ne badhna rok diya aur ek bahut tawil waqt tak chalne wale pattern ka tashkil kiya, jise descending slope pattern kaha jata hai. Yah tab ubarta hai jab Budh se Jumah tak baqi rah jane wale tawazun ka test nahin kiya jata hai, is tarah downward line ban jati hai.
    Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh Budh ke din qimat din ke tawazun tak pahunchna chahiye aur wahan se tezi se niche ki taraf badhna chahiye. Is waqt, din ka balance 3063 par hai, mumkena reversal level 2655 par hai aur pahla long deal niche 2530 par hai. Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh Jumah ka din mushkil hone wala hai.

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    Ikhteyarat ke sath suratehal ummid agza hai. Traders bade paimane par farokht ka series banate hue call option ko band kar rahe hain. 1.29 ke strike ke sath mera ek hadaf 3080 par bacha hai.
    Agar qimat 2680 ki satah tak niche chala jata hai to bears iski tarif karenge jahan ham maujudah liquidity ratio level ka test kar sakte hain. Imkan hai keh bulls yahan stop loss positions open karenge aur rujhan reverse ho sakti hai. Ek fixed qimat ke sath sabse hairan kun bat 1.2400 ki satah par rk put option hai.
    Sirf bade market player ki aisa kar sakta hai aur yah 23rd figure ki shuruaat hai. Is range me, mere pas abhi bhi deal open hai aur bears ke stop losses hit hue hain.
    Mai ise zehan me rakhunga aur apne sales ko yahan fix karunga.

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  14. #58
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.
    Mujhe lagta hai keh ham niche jayenge. Halankeh, kuch barikiyan hain. Sab se pahle, hamein niche ki rah ko khaolne ki zarurat hai aur fasla is movement ki taraf pahla qadam hai.
    Yaqinan, ham aaj safar shuru kar sakte hain, lekin do dinon me sideways trend ke sath khatm karna zyada muntaqi hoga. Jumah ke COT data ke mutabiq, bahut sare short deals khole gaye the, taqriban 12 hazar contract. Lehaza, traders girawat ki himayat karne ke liye taiyar lag rahe hain. Halankeh, unhen long deals kholna shuru karna chahiye, jabkeh market me kami shuru honi chahiye.Ab tak, mai ise nahin dekh raha hun. Lehaza, mai in suratehal ke paida hone tak intezar karunga. Iske alawa, mere pas kafi farokht hai. Lekin traders ne farokht band kar di (6 hazar se zyada) aur kharidari shuru kar di.

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    Aaj, tawazun ek bar fir top par hai, jiska matlab hai muzahmat aur agar mauqa mile to mai yaqini taur par 3008 par garokht karunga.
    Lekin ek lazmi zone dikhayi diya, jise din ki nichli hadd (2837) ko taqwiyat mili. Sab se aham chiz 28th figure me consolidate karna hai.

    Last edited by Forex Adviser; 10-21-2019 at 03:30 PM.

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  16. #59
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    Assalam Alaikum aur aap ka din accha guzre.
    Pound ne 21satah ke pas bearish trend zone me dakhil hua. Filhal, yah 30 mark keqarib hai. Levels indicators ke mutabiq, is jodi ne yaumiyah range 2956 ke nichli satah par trade karna shuru kar diya. Iske alawa, koi lazmi satah nahin hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat me girawat ke liye munasib waqt hai. 31 mark me balance dilchasp lag raha hai aur shayad qimat ki halyah izafe ki yahi buniyadi wajah hai. Iske alawa, yah pound ke liye rujahn ki muzahmat ka buniyadi satah hai.



    Lehaza, rujhan ya to reverse hogi ya 30 ke nishan tak pahunchne ke bad jari rahegi. Balance dynamics ke mutabiq, 2947 support ki maujudah satah hai aur qimat ko wahan jane ki zarurat hai. Mujhe is chiz me dilchaspi hai keh market kis tarah react karne wala hai, kiyunkeh yah woh satah hai jahan buy deal ka hazm badhne ka imkan hai. Halankeh, asal almiyah yah hai keh qimaten mazid badhengi yah niche girengi. Is surat me, niche ka hadaf 2973, 2920, aur 2883 hai, jabkeh 3020 oopri hadaf hai.


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  19. #60
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    Assalam Alaikum.
    Kal, pound me tezi aayi aur bahut se logon ne samjha keh yah 31th figure ki taraf movement ki shuruaat thi, lekin yah hamesha ki tarah hi nikla. Pichle hafte reversal shuru hona tha, lekin bears is qadar badh gaya keh sab bhul gaye keh pullback ke siwa rujhan me tabdiliyan aa sakti hain aur aaj bhi aisa ho sakta hai.
    150 points ki kami ne bears ki taidad kam kar di. Lehaza, short deals ki range 26th figure tak kam ho gayi aur long deals ki range 29th figure me bani rahi.



    Sab se dilchasp bat yah hai keh rujhan ki tabdili ki satah ko touch kiya gaya hai aur mujhe lagta hai keh iski asal jaddo jahad aaj samne aayegi. Agar ham niche se retesting karte waqt 2838 se guzarna me kamyab hote hain to debt ka rasta khul jayega. 25th figure me pahla debt hai. Din ka balance 2917 par hai. Ise lazmi zone ne mazbut kiya tha, jo keh kal 2898 ki nichli sath se shuru hua. Lehaza, wapsi ho sakti hai, lekin hamein shayad hi ooper jane ki ijazat hogi. Aham bat yah hai keh din ka balance qimat se ooper hai aur hamein aaj ise touch nahin karna chahiye. Is surat me. Budh ka din aam karobari din rahega aur 2749 ki satah aaj ke liye buniyadi hadaf hogi.


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