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Mauzo: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

  1. #11
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    Mein yahan ek sathi tajir se razi hun, market ko mahsus karna zaruri hai. Halankeh kabhi-kabhi aisa hone me thoda waqt lagta hai. Isme mujhe 8 sal lage. Ek sal se mein, casually trading karta aa raha hun, ek aur sal - insight ki talash me. Mazid tin sal maine indices par trading kiya, do do sal - waves par trading par. Iske bad, mein volumes, VSA, etc par trading kar raha hun.
    Filhal, mujhe volume, delta wagairah ko dekhne ki zarurat nahin hai. Mein ise ek khali chart par dekh sakta hun. Market ko followkarke trade karna aasan hai, iske khilaf nahin.
    Aksar aisa hota hai keh ham ek bar deal open karne ke bad kho dete hain kiyunkeh ham rujhan ke khilaf jate hain. Hamein lagta hai keh qimat reverse hone wali hai, jabkeh ham haqiqat me high/low par market me dakhil hue hain.

    Aaiye misal ke taur par pound ko lete hain. Yah ek bahut hi dilchasp trading instrument hai, khas taur ab jab yah fundamentals ke zariye daba diya jata hai. Mein chart ko dekhta hun aur mein dekhta hun keh mein apni position kahan aur kab rakhunga. Yah downtrend me hai. Ham ek upcoming downward reversal ko dekh sakte hain. Inpluse ko do candlesticks nahin, impulse ke sath merge kar diya gaya hai. Yah aur bhi dilchasp hai.



    Bulls kamzor hai. Qimat jarhana satahon se niche hai. Trend aur test hain. Delta bhi dilchasp taswir dikhata hai.



    Traders me thoda-thoda karne bechna shuru kar diya. Mein radde amal dekhne ke liye muntazar hun. Iske alawa, qimat ko 1.12088 ko chuna hoga, shayad aaj bhi.
    Lehaza, mera idea bahut aasan hai - 1.2088 ke naye low ko target kar ke short positions ko place karna. Yah mera pahla intraday target hai. Agarcheh, agar sellers aggressive hain to, jori badh sakti hai. Iske bad, mein 1.2184 se short positions place karunga. Lekin mujhe nahin lagta hai keh qimat itni niche jayegi, lehaza 1.2160 bhi bura hadaf nahin hai.



    Abhi ke liye, rasuh karne se bachna zauri hai. Yah machli pakadne ki tarah hai - aapko mauqe ko zabt karna hoga. Agar jodi badhti hai to, farokht ke liye market me dakhil hone ke liye 1.2140 ek accha point hai.

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  3. #12
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Aaj fir se budh hai, hafte ka wast. Yah aham hai keh intraday balance kahan hoga, aur qimat kaisi hogi.

    Pound ki ooper ki taraf naql o harkat acchi chiz hai. Agarcheh, ab tak yah pichle hafte ke bade girawat ke bad islah ki tarah nazar aata hai. Iska matlab yah hai keh downward impulse abhi khatm nahin hua hai.

    Aaj hamari trading range 2120-2211 hai. Jab tak qimat 2147 se ooper hai, bulls ko fikar karne ki koi zarurat nahin hai. Khas taur par, qimat is waqt accumulation zone me hai, lehaza long positions tarjih me hai. 2166 par breakout is ki tasdiq karega.



    Kal ke options trade ke nataij abhi samne aaye aur bulls mein kuch aitemad paida hua.
    Aaj ke liye maximum downward movement 40 pips hai, jabkeh jori yaqini taur par badhegi, aur mera main target ab 1.12200 se ooper hai. Meri khawahish hai keh jori wahan mazbut ho, nak keh sirf dikhawa kare.


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  5. #13
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    Assalam Alaikum!

    Pound/dollar jodi

    Pound 2080-2245 ki range me sideways trading karna jari rakhta hai, un drivers ka intezar kar raha hai jo ise bahar nikal sakte hain. Iske pas do options hain: girte rahna ya ooper ki islah karna.

    Intraday range: 2123 par islahi support satah aur 2107 par izafi support satah sellers ke zone me hain. Abhi ke liye, mein seller ke zone me control level ki taraf nahin dekh raha hun kiyunkeh hamare targets ooper ki taraf hai. Control resistance level aur maximal intraday growth ke liye 2245 par izafi satah kharidaron ke zone me hain.

    M15 timeframe: pound 2150 par intraday pivot point ke bahut qarib hai aur is satah se niche breakout aur consolidation ka imkan zahir karta hai.



    H1 timeframe: Kal se mujhe yahan koi tabdili nazar nahin aa rahi hai, tawazun waise hi bana hua hai, aur mera system zahir karta hai keh long positions me thoda zyada wazan hai.



    D1 timeframe: Indices thoda-thoda karke ooper ja rahe hain. Agar H4 jald hi breakout karne me kamyab ho jata hai to, gahri islah ka imkan hoga. Abhi ke liye, H4 ab bhi adjust kar raha hai.



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    Hello, dear speculators.

    Jumah ka put options 2550 ki strike par shuru hota hai. Yah pahli rukawat hai, jis ka matlab hai keh girawat ke liye, hamein 2142 se guzarna hoga aur fir 2120 ke hadaf tak pahunchna hoga.

    Ab tak, hamein 2195 se ooper ke movement par aitemad nahin karna chahiye, kiyunkeh wahan bhi ek rukawat hai aur ham is range me din guzar sakte hain.



    Mere indices ab bhi izafe ki nishandahi karte hain aur accumulation area 2131-2097 ki satah ke qarib hai. Lehaza, hamein is ilaqe me dusre kharid ke saudon ko shamil karne ya ooper se dubara test karne ke liye niche jana chahiye. Mein signal ke liye intezar karna jari rakhta hun, jiske bad ham 20th figure par jayenge. Lehaza, mein ab bhi farokht jari rakhta hun.



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  9. #15
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    Assalam Alaikum.

    Options ke mutabiq, downward movement aasan nahin hogi. Niche jane ke raste me bahut si rukawaten hain. Ooper ka rasta khula hai, lekin 22th figure tak pahunchne ke liye sakht mehnat karna zaruri hai.



    Mere indices ab tak neutral hain. Aam simt ab bhi ooper ki taraf hai. Halankeh, kal, qimat accumulation area me fans gayi. Aur yah abhi bhi muaqid kiya ja raha hai. Lehaza, agar ham 2130 se ooper consolidate karte hain to, hamein 2170 se ek mazbut ilaqe ka samna karna padega. Agar ham aisa nahin karte hain to, 20th figure tak ke movement ke sath flat hogi.


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  11. #16
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.

    Euro-dollar ki jori par review.
    Aam taur par, lagta hai ke market me musbat suratehal hai, lekin euro-dollar ki jori 1075 tak gir gayi hai. Kyun? Sabkuch aasan hai.
    Pichle hafte ki meri peshan goi ke mutabiq, jab ham 100 fisad Fibo satah se hat gaye to, hamein agle satah yani keh 23.6% Fibo level tak pahunchne ki ummid thi. Maine tawaqqo ki thi keh bulls kamyab ho jayen to, ham 76.4 par chale jayenge, ya 100 ko bhi tod denge. Ab tak, har chiz mansube ke mutabiq hai:



    M15 par, mein tashkil se mahrum raha, warna mein munafa kamata.
    Halankeh, mujhe yaqin hai keh 1.1080 par wapsi ho sakti hai. Lehaza, maine is satah par buy limit pending order rakha hai.
    Jahan tak ikhtetami nukat ki bat hai, pahla hadaf 1.1199 par hai, lekin maine sirf is mamle me 1.1190 par take profit orders place kiya. Lehaza, mujhe $100 milne ka imkan hai. Aur agar pending order executes hota hai to, salahiyat badhegi. Agar stop loss order executes hota hai to, yah kam ho jayegi.
    Hafta abhi shuru hua hai aur sab se dilchasp chiz abhi aan baqi hai. Aam taur par, kam volatility ki wajah se, euro hal me trading ke liye behtarin jori nahin rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh kafi liquidity nahin hai ... lekin munafa kamane ka mauqa abhi bhi hai, lehaza aaiye kam karte hain.


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  13. #17
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    Assakam Alaikum!

    Aaiye pound ke bare me bat karte hain kiyunkeh yah kal aage badha. Aur aaj hamare pas yahi hai.
    Levels indicator dikhata hai keh balance 23th figure par hai aur muzahmat ki satah ke taur par kam karta hai. Aaj qimat 2238 par hai aur koi lazmi zone nahin hai - yah maujudah rujhan ke reversal ya continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Yah mumkin hai keh qimat mazid 200 pips ooper ki taraf jayegi lekin mein ke options ki wajah se is ke bare me yaqini nahin hun. Traders ne call options nahin kharida (jo aaj kharidne ka ishara ho sakta hai) balkeh unhen band kar diya. Yahi wajah hai keh 2275-85 ke nishan ko todna mushkil hai lekin ham ise bad me azma sakte hain. Niche ki taraf, 2240 se 2228 tak ki range ko todna bhi mushkil hai aur 2210 par put options hai jo band hone wala hai.
    Lehaza, mujhe lagta hai keh hamein 22th figure tak pahunchne tak intezar karne aur fir dekhte rahne ki zarurat hai.



    Khulasa:

    Kal bulls ne market par qabza kar liya. 2135 par long deal hai. Abhi ke liye accumulation zone 2200-2157 ke ilaqe me hai aur isme mazid 10 points izafa ho sakta hai. Lehaza mein in do marks par nazar rakhunga: 22th figure aur 2160-70 par, jahan maine tamam take profit orders rakha hai. Yah behtarin suratehal ki tarah dikhta hai. Badtarin suratehal maujudah satah se highs par wapsi aur fir Americi session shuru hone tak nayi bulandiyuon par pahunchna hoga. Iske bad mein 2290 mark par sell order put karunga.


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  15. #18
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    Assalam Aalikum, aziz tajiron.
    Aaiye pound ke sath shuru karte hain.
    Is waqt, pound mahana tawazun ki balayi sarhad ke qarib pahunch gaya hai.
    Is surat me, mein pullback ki tawaqqo karta hun. Lekin chunkeh ham core se ooper hain aur tamam liquidity hamare niche hai, yani 2180-2120 ke ilaqe me, yahan kharidhna muntaqi hoga.
    Bilkul yahi mein karne ja raha hun.
    Lekin is liquidity se niche movement ki surat me, ham shayad naye low ko hit karenge.
    Mujhe nahin lagta hai keh pound maujudah satah se aisa karne me kamyab hai. Lehaza, growth filhal tarjih hai.
    24th aur 28th figures ke darmiyan tawazun me kudne se pahle, hamein bada volume hasil karna hoga, aur uske bad hi 24th figure ko todna hoga.
    Lehaza, aaj ya kal, mein 2180 ke ilaqe me pullback aur sideways trend ki tawaqqo karta hun.



    Euro-dollar ki jori ke bare me kuch aur alfaz.
    Yahan, zahir hai, bulls ko faida hai. Halankeh, 1.1220-50 ka ilaqa hai aur ise todna mushkil hoga.
    Iske bawajud, abhi bhi margin hai.
    Waise bhi, buy deals ab zyada mutalqa hai. Ham ne 1.1050-1.1100 ki range me bahut izafa kiya.
    Ab yah sari liquidity bottom se euro ko support karegi.
    Agar 1.1110 tak descent hota hai to, mein 12th figure ke qarib ke hadaf ke sath dubarah euro kharidunga.


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    Re: Analytical forecast from trader with experience

    Analysics ka mutabiq agr huma work akra ga tu huma acha profit bhe huma asani say kama sakhta hai us leay huma cheya ka sahi work bhe hum asani say kaam sakhta hai

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    Assakam Alaikum!

    Levels indicator aaj growth zahir karta hai, agarcheh, yah bahut behtar hoga agar tawazun 23rd figure me lazmi zone (taqriban 2230-50) me hota. Us surat me ham Budh ke roz mazbut rally ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain.
    Warna, 2324 ki satah hafte ki maximum ban sakti hai aur rujhan niche ki taraf nahin jayegi. Mein satahon ke bare me yahi sochta hun.
    Jahan tak options ki bat hai, downward movement ke liye 2255 par hadaf hai aur fir 2215 par boundary hai. Ooper ki rujhan ka hadaf 2327 hai jo keh 2114 aur 2345 ki hadon se mahdud hai.



    Niche diye gaye chart par ham dekh sakte hain keh mere indicators ne tin kharid signal fraham kiye hain jo abhi tak valid hai. Aaiye ek ko 21st figure me bad ke liye chor den. Jabkeh signals se pata chalta hai keh qimat 2229 tak pahunch jayegi aur qarib mutaqbil me 2248 ki tasdiq hone ka imkan hai.
    Accumulation zone abhi 2249-61 par hai aur kam az kam yah dekhne ke liye test kiya jana chahiye keh kya 20th figure ke liye ooper ki taraf movement ka imkan hai.


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